Killed for Israel: Bolton, Netanyahu & Dershowitz welcome killing of
Soleimani; Sanders & Gabbard oppose it
Newsletter published on January 5, 2020
(1) Pentagon killed
Soleimani and al-Muhandis in an airstrike inside
Baghdad International
Airport
(2) Soleimani arrived on a normal flight from Lebanon; he did not
travel
in secret
(3) Netanyahu backs Soleimani killing as US
‘self-defense’
(4) Report: Obama Administration Stopped Israel From
Assassinating
Soleimani in 2015
(5) Arch-hawk Bolton celebrates slaying
of Quds commander as ‘first step
to regime change in Tehran’
(6)
Dershowitz: Trump had Legal Justification for eliminating Soleimani
(7)
Extrajudicial execution of Soleimani violates international law' –
UN
Rapporteur
(8) Israel is the main culprit in this crime. Trump is a secondary
culprit
(9) Sanders condemns assassination, calls for exit from Middle East
wars
(10) Tulsi Gabbard condemns Soleimani strike: Trump isn't acting like he
wants to end 'forever wars'
(11) N. Haass, President of CFR, fears US
being dragged into another
mideast war
(12) JStreet condemns the killing
but makes no mention of Israel's role
(13) Economist says Soleimani killing
"tantamount to an act of war"; US
will have to leave Iraq
(14) Philip
Giraldi: US will be forced out of Iraq, Syria & other Arab
states
(1) Pentagon killed Soleimani and al-Muhandis in an airstrike
inside
Baghdad International Airport
https://www.jpost.com/Breaking-News/Four-rockets-land-on-Baghdad-airport-report-612947
US
assassinates Qasem Soleimani, Iran's Khamenei warns of 'harsh
revenge'
"The American and Israeli enemy is responsible for killing the
mujahideen Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis and Qasem Soleimani," said Iraqi PMF
spokesman Ahmed al-Assadi.
By JERUSALEM POST STAFF, REUTERS, OMRI
NAHMIAS
JANUARY 3, 2020 12:28
IRGC Quds Force commander Qasem
Soleimani and Iraqi militia commander
Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, along with at
least 10 other people, were killed
in an attack by US forces in Baghdad on
Friday morning Israel time,
according to reports confirmed by the Pentagon
and the Iranian
Revolutionary Guards Corp (IRGC).
In a statement, the
Pentagon said that the US killed Soleimani and
al-Muhandis in an airstrike
inside Baghdad International Airport.
According to the Pentagon,
Soleimani was actively developing plans to
attack American diplomats and
service members in Iraq and throughout the
region.
"General Soleimani
and his Quds Force were responsible for the deaths of
hundreds of American
and coalition service members and the wounding of
thousands more," the
Pentagon claimed, noting that the Iranian leader
had orchestrated attacks on
coalition bases in Iraq over the last
several months, "including the attack
on December 27th, cculminating in
the death and wounding of additional
American and Iraqi personnel.
"General Soleimani also approved the
attacks on the US Embassy in
Baghdad that took place this week," the
Pentagon added, clarifying that
the strike was aimed at deterring future
Iranian attack plans. "The
United States will continue to take all necessary
action to protect our
people and our interests wherever they are around the
world," the
statement concluded.
The US embassy in Baghdad urged
American citizens to leave Iraq
immediately. Dozens of foreign oil company
employees with US citizenship
in Iraq headed to Basra Airport for
evacuation, Reuters reported.
The Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces
spokesperson claimed that Israel
was also behind the attack, though Israel
has made no such statement. ...
(2) Soleimani arrived on a normal flight
from Lebanon; he did not travel
in secret
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/01/us-will-come-to-regret-its-assassination-of-qassim-soleimani.html
January
03, 2020
U.S. Will Come To Regret Its Assassination of Qassim
Soleimani
Today the U.S. declared war on Iran and Iraq.
War is
what it will get.
Earlier today a U.S. drone or helicopter killed Major
General Qassim
Soleimani, the famous commander of the Iranian Quds
('Jerusalem') force,
while he left the airport of Baghdad where he had just
arrived. He had
planned to attend the funeral of the 31 Iraqi soldiers the
U.S. had
killed on December 29 at the Syrian-Iraqi border near
Al-Qaim.
The Quds force is the external arm of the Iranian Islamic
Revolutionary
Guards Corps. Soleiman was responsible for all relations
between Iran
and political and militant movements outside of Iran. Hajji
Qassim
advised the Lebanese Hisbullah during the 2006 war against Israel.
His
support for Iraqi groups enabled them to kick the U.S. invaders out of
Iraq. He was the man responsible for, and successful in, defeating the
Islamic State in iraq and Syria. In 2015 Soleimani traveled to Moscow
and convinced Russia to intervene in Syria. His support for the Houthi
in Yemen enabled them to withstand the Saudi attackers.
Soleimani had
arrived in Baghdad on a normal flight from Lebanon. He did
not travel in
secret. He was picked up at the airport by Abu Mahdi
al-Muhandes, the deputy
commander of the al-Hashd al-Shaabi, an official
Iraqi security force under
the command of the Iraqi Prime Minister. The
two cars they traveled in were
destroyed in the U.S. attack. Both men
and their drivers and guards
died.
The U.S. created two martyrs who will now become the models and
idols
for tens of millions of youth in the Middle East.
The Houthi in
Yemen, Hizbullah in Lebanon, Islamic Jihad in Palestine,
the paramilitary
forces in Syria, Iraq and elsewhere have all benefited
from Soleimani's
advice and support. They will all take actions to
revenge
him.
Moqtada al-Sadr, the unruly Shia cleric who commands millions of
followers in Iraq, has given orders to reactivate his military branch
'Jaish al-Imam al-Mahdi'. Between 2004 and 2008 the Mahdi forces fought
the U.S. occupation of Iraq. They will do so again.
The outright
assassination of a commander of Soleimani's weight demands
an Iranian
reaction of at least a similar size. All U.S. generals or
high politicians
traveling in the Middle East or elsewhere will now have
to watch their back.
There will be no safety for them anywhere.
No Iraqi politician will be
able to argue for keeping U.S. forces in the
country. The Iraqi Prime
Minister Abdel Mahdi has called for a
parliament emergency meeting to ask
for the withdrawal of all U.S. troops:
"The targeted assassination of an
Iraqi commander is a violation of the
agreement. It can trigger a war in
Iraq and the region. It is a clear
violation of the conditions of the U.S.
presence in Iraq. I call on the
parliament to take the necessary steps." The
National Security Council
of Iran is meeting with Supreme Leader Ali
Khamenei to "study the
options of response". There are many such options.
The U.S. has forces
stationed in many countries around Iran.
From
now on none of them will be safe.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, issued a
statement calling for three days of
public mourning and then
retaliation.
"His departure to God does not end his path or his mission,"
the
statement said, "but a forceful revenge awaits the criminals who have
his blood and the blood of the other martyrs last night on their
hands."
Iran will tie its response to the political calender. U.S.
President
Donald Trump will go into his reelection campaign with U.S. troops
under
threat everywhere. We can expect incidents like the Beirut barracks
bombing to repeat themselves when he is most vulnerable.
Trump will
learn that killing the enemy is the easy part of a war. The
difficulties
come after that happened.
In 2018 Soleimani publicly responded to a tweet
in which Trump had
threatened Iran:
"Mr. Trump, the gambler! […] You
are well aware of our power and
capabilities in the region. You know how
powerful we are in asymmetrical
warfare. Come, we are waiting for you. We
are the real men on the scene,
as far as you are concerned. You know that a
war would mean the loss of
all your capabilities. You may start the war, but
we will be the ones to
determine its end." Since May 2019 the U.S. deployed
at least 14,800
additional soldiers to the Middle East. Over the last three
days
airborne elements and special forces followed. The U.S.has clearly
planned for an escalation.
Soleimani will be replaced by Brigadier
General Ismail Ghani, a veteran
of the Iran-Iraq war who has for decades
been active in the Quds Force
and has fought against ISIS in Syria. He is an
officer of equal stature
and capability.
Iran's policies and support
for foreign groups will intensify. The U.S.
has won nothing with its attack
but will feel the consequences for
decades to come. From now on its position
in the Middle East will be
severely constrained. Others will move in to take
its place.
Posted by b on January 3, 2020 at 9:05 UTC
(3)
Netanyahu backs Soleimani killing as US ‘self-defense’
https://www.rt.com/news/477377-netanyahu-backs-soleimanis-killing-us/
‘A
just struggle’: Netanyahu backs Soleimani’s killing as US
‘self-defense,’
says Quds head planned more attacks
3 Jan, 2020 11:56 /
Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has called the US
assassination of a top
Iranian commander a justified act of self-defense
and said Donald Trump
should be credited for "acting swiftly, forcefully
and
decisively."
The Israeli leader said his country "stands with the United
States in
its just struggle for peace, security and self-defense," accusing
Soleimani of having staged and planned attacks against "American
citizens and many other innocent people."
(4) Report: Obama
Administration Stopped Israel From Assassinating
Soleimani in 2015
https://www.newswars.com/report-obama-administration-stopped-israel-from-assassinating-soleimani-in-2015/
Report:
Obama Administration Stopped Israel From Assassinating Soleimani
in
2015
According to a report from 2018, Israel was "on the verge" of
assassinating Soleimani in 2015, but Obama’s officials foiled the
plan
By Infowars.com Saturday, January 04, 2020
So all the people
killed or wounded in the last three years from
anything this guy did can
thank Obama and Biden.
Via PJ Media:
When President Donald Trump
gave the order to kill Iran’s Quds Force
leader Qasem Soleimani, he not only
made an arguably proportionate
response to the invasion of the U.S. Embassy
this week but he also
reversed a policy of the Obama
administration.
According to a report from 2018, Israel was "on the
verge" of
assassinating Soleimani in 2015, but Obama’s officials foiled the
plan.
In fact, they reached out to Iran with news of Israel’s
plans.
The Trump administration, on the other hand, gave Israel a green
light
to assassinate Soleimani, according to a January 1, 2018 report from
the
Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Jarida.
The paper quoted a source in
Jerusalem as saying that "there is an
American-Israeli agreement" that
Soleimani is a "threat to the two
countries’ interests in the
region."
According to Haaretz, Al-Jarida is generally assumed to be a
platform
for the Israeli government to disseminate its message to other
Middle
Eastern governments.
(5) Arch-hawk Bolton celebrates slaying
of Quds commander as ‘first step
to regime change in Tehran’
https://www.rt.com/usa/477386-bolton-cheers-soleimani-death/
3
Jan, 2020 13:47
While there was no shortage of triumphant voices coming
from Washington
DC on Friday after the targeted assassination of a senior
Iranian
general, that of John Bolton seemed especially cheerful. The former
national security adviser in the Donald Trump administration took to
Twitter to congratulate "all involved in eliminating Qassem Soleimani,"
the commander of Iran's elite Quds Force.
John Bolton
@AmbJohnBolton
Congratulations to all involved in eliminating Qassem
Soleimani. Long in
the making, this was a decisive blow against Iran's
malign Quds Force
activities worldwide. Hope this is the first step to
regime change in
Tehran.
The mustached cheerleader for any and all
foreign interventions ever
conceived in the US, Bolton has a long record of
advocating a war with
the Islamic Republic. He even wrote an opinion piece
titled "To Stop
Iran's Bomb, Bomb Iran" at the peak of Barack Obama's
negotiations with
Tehran on the now-scrapped nuclear deal.
Soleimani
was killed in a US airstrike as his convoy was traveling
outside Baghdad
International Airport early on Friday morning.
Washington claimed the
assassination was an act of self-defense,
accusing the Iranian general of
plotting attacks on American citizens.
Tehran said it was an act of
international terrorism and pledged to
retaliate.
(6) Dershowitz:
Trump had Legal Justification for eliminating Soleimani
https://www.infowars.com/dershowitz-trump-had-even-more-legal-justification-eliminating-soleimani-than-obama-had-with-osama-bin-laden/
Dershowitz:
Trump Had Even More Legal Justification Eliminating
Soleimani than Obama Had
with Osama Bin Laden
"[Soleimani] was a combatant."
Breitbart -
JANUARY 4, 2020
Harvard Law School Professor Emeritus Alan Dershowitz
said Thursday
evening that President Donald Trump had even more legal
authority to
eliminate Qassem Soleimani than former President Barack Obama
had to
take out Osama bin Laden in 2011.
Dershowitz, speaking with
host Joel Pollak and guest host John Hayward
on SiriusXM’s Breitbart News
Tonight, dismissed arguments that Trump
lacked constitutional authority to
act against General Soleimani, the
commander of the Iranian Revolutionary
Guard Corps (IRGC) Quds Force.
Presidents have lawful authority to direct
the killing of enemy
combatants, explained Dershowitz.
"[Soleimani]
was a combatant," explained Dershowitz. "There’s no doubt
that he fit the
description of ‘combatant.’ He [was] a uniformed member
of an enemy military
who was actively planning to kill Americans;
American soldiers and probably,
as well, American civilians."
(7) Extrajudicial execution of Soleimani
violates international law' –
UN Rapporteur
https://www.rt.com/news/477387-un-rapporteur-soleimani-airstrike/
Killing
of Iran's Quds Force chief Soleimani by US 'MOST LIKELY violates
international law' – UN Rapporteur
3 Jan, 2020 13:48 Get short
URL
UN's top expert on extrajudicial executions said that Washington's
decision to assassinate the commander of Iranian elite Quds Force Qassem
Soleimani cannot be justified under international law. Major General
Soleimani and the second-in-command of the Iran-backed Iraqi
paramilitary Popular Mobilization Units (PMU), Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis,
were killed in a US airstrike at Baghdad's airport on Friday
morning.
The "targeted killings" of both men "most likely violate
international
law incl[uding] human rights law," UN's Special Rapporteur on
Extrajudicial, Summary or Arbitrary Executions, Agnes Callamard wrote on
social media shortly after the attack.
Agnes Callamard
@AgnesCallamard
The targeted killings of Qasem Soleimani and Abu mahdi al
muhandi most
likely violate international law incl human rights law. Lawful
justifications for such killings are very narrowly defined and it is
hard to imagine how any of these can apply to these killings.
The
human rights expert said that such an attack may have been justified
to
protect against "an imminent threat to life" or in self-defense, but
this
"test is unlikely to be met in these particular cases."
Lawful
justifications for such killings are very narrowly defined and it
is hard to
imagine how any of these can apply to these killings.
The Pentagon argued
that the airstrikes were aimed at "deterring future
Iranian attack plans."
Callamard, however, dismissed this reasoning as
being "very vague" and,
therefore, unable to qualify as rationale to
carry out targeted killings
under international law.
Overall, eight more people died along with
Soleimani and al-Muhandis.
The UN rapporteur stressed that such "collateral"
damage is also unlawful.
The airstrikes received praise among US
President Donald Trump's allies
in the Republican Party, but were called
reckless and escalatory by his
opponents in the Democratic
Party.
French Secretary of State for European Affairs Amelie de
Montchalin
urged for "stability" in the Middle East. "What is happening is
what we
feared: tensions between the United States and Iran are increasing,"
she
told RTL radio.
Iranian officials have blasted the airstrikes as
an "act of
international terrorism," and promised to retaliate.
(8)
Israel is the main culprit in this crime. Trump is a secondary
culprit
From: "Ken Freeland" <diogenesquest@gmail.com>
Subject:
[shamireaders] War Again on the Front Burner
War Again on the Front
Burner
Paul Craig Roberts
January 3, 2020
https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2020/01/03/war-again-on-the-front-burner/
The
nonsensical statement below from the Pentagon announcing that the US
government has committed an act of war against Iran should frighten
everyone:
"At the direction of the president, the US military has
taken decisive
defensive action to protect US personnel abroad by killing
Qasem
Soleimani, the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Quds
Force,
a US-designated Foreign Terrorist Organization."
"This strike
was aimed at deterring future Iranian attack plans."
"The United States
will continue to take all necessary action to protect
our people and our
interests wherever they are around the world."
Murdering a high-ranking
official of a government is an act of war. It
is impossible for an act of
war to protect US personnel abroad.
It is impossible for an act of war
against Iran to deter future Iranian
attack plans. Where there was no
Iranian attack plan, there now is in
response to the murder of
Soleimani.
Committing an act of war does not "protect our people and our
interests." It jeopardizes them.
How is it possible for the Pentagon
to issue such a nonsensical
laughable justification for murdering a top
official of another country?
Where was Trump’s mind? Just as he is
emerging from the impeachment
hoax, why did he commit an impeachable act?
Trump attacked another
country without Congressional authorization. He
thumbed his nose at
Congress and the law. It is the duty of the President to
enforce the
laws of the United States, not break them. The Democrats now
have a real
impeachable offense to hang around Trump’s neck.
But they
will not make us of it. Trump struck down Soleimani, because
that is what
Netanyahu wanted. The main leaders of the impeachment hoax
are Jews, and
they are not going to line up against Israel. Adam Schiff,
for example, the
Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee who is
leading the impeachment,
gave his approval to Soleimani’s murder when he
tweeted that Suleimani "was
responsible for unthinkable violence and
world is better off without
him."
Israel is the main culprit in this crime. Trump is a secondary
culprit.
Soleimani himself bears responsibility. He should have known that
he was
a target and not exposed himself so carelessly. The Russian
government
also bears responsibility. Russia, China and Iran should long ago
have
formed a highly visible alliance. Such an alliance would have prevented
the crazy and irresponsible act that Israel manuevered Trump into
committing. But Putin doesn’t want war, and apparently historians have
convinced Putin that alliances are the cause of war. Thus Putin avoids
alliances, taking his que instead from American libertarians who say
that free trade is the basis of peace. Strength is the guarantor of
peace, and strength rests in a powerful alliance against US/Israeli
aggression.
Iran’s response was predictable and unfortunate. Iran
declared it will
take revenge, and most likely will. Iran’s revenge will
give Israel the
war it wants between the US and Iran.
Iran would have
done better to take its revenge and deny responsibility.
Idiot American
politicians, one of whom could end up as President, are
furthering the cause
of war by working up American patriotism with
claims, false of course, that
Iran is a "terrorist state" determined to
harm America, that Iran is
responsible for thousands of deaths,
including hundreds of Americans, and so
forth.
We have heard all of this before. It is the US that is the
terrorist
state, having destroyed in whole or part seven Muslim countries in
the
21st century, producing millions of deaths, injuries, and dispossessed
and displaced peoples. I knew it was going to get worse when the Russian
government permitted Israel to continue attacking Syrian targets after
Russia had rescued Syria from Washington’s proxy army.
As long as
Israel runs US foreign policy in Israel’s interest, and as
long as
"non-compliant" countries are content for Washington to knock
them off one
by one, war will continue to be our future.
(9) Sanders condemns
assassination, calls for exit from Middle East wars
https://fortune.com/2020/01/03/democrats-iran-biden-Sanders/
Bernie
Sanders Stands Out in Anti-War Messaging After Death of Soleimani
By
Nicole Goodkind
January 3, 2020
[...] Part of President Donald
Trump's appeal to voters in 2016 were
promises to bring American troops
(currently fighting an 18-year war in
the Middle East) back home and his
framing of opponent Hillary Clinton
as a war hawk. "You’re going to end up
in World War Three over Syria if
we listen to Hillary Clinton," he said
during a 2016 press conference.
Those promises, now fraying, are still
appealing to voters, and Sanders
could potentially appeal to a class of
American who feels betrayed by
the president. [...]
Sanders, who
unlike Biden did not vote for the use of military force in
Iraq in 2002,
tweeted, made videos, and spoke out repeatedly against any
war in the Middle
East.
"Trump's dangerous escalation brings us closer to another
disastrous war
in the Middle East that could cost countless lives and
trillions more
dollars," said Sanders before touting his long anti-war
history. "Trump
promised to end endless wars, but this action puts us on the
path to
another one."
Later, Sanders added, "We must do more than
just stop war with Iran. We
must firmly commit to ending U.S. military
presence in the Middle East
in an orderly manner. We must end our
involvement in the Saudi-led
intervention in Yemen. We must bring our troops
home from Afghanistan."
Gabbard and Yang echoed Sanders’ anti-war
sentiments. [...]
(10) Tulsi Gabbard condemns Soleimani strike: Trump
isn't acting like he
wants to end 'forever wars'
https://www.foxnews.com/media/qassem-soleimani-Tulsi-gabbard-trump-iran
Jan
3, 2020
Tulsi Gabbard rips Soleimani strike: Trump isn't acting like he
wants to
end 'forever wars'
By Julia Musto | Fox News
Gabbard
slams Soleimani airstrike, says Trump has violated Constitution
by declaring
act of war against Iran
2020 Democrat candidate Rep. Tulsi Gabbard says
on 'Fox & Friends'
that President Trump has 'seriously escalated'
the Iran crisis by
killing their top general.
The death of top
Iranian General Qassem Soleimani may mark the beginning
of a war that
Congress never agreed to and disproves President Trump's
promises to end
"forever wars," 2020 presidential candidate Rep. Tulsi
Gabbard, D-Hawaii,
said Friday.
Appearing on "Fox & Friends," Gabbard argued that the
airstrike violated
the Constitution because there was no declaration of war
from Congress.
"It further escalates this tit-for-tat that's going on and
on and on.
[It] will elicit a very serious response from Iran and [push] us
deeper
and deeper into this quagmire," she said. "And it really begs the
question: for what?" [...]
(11) N. Haass, President of CFR, fears US
being dragged into another
mideast war
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/suleiman-killing-american-strategic-incoherence-by-richard-n-haass-2020-01
The
Suleimani Assassination and US Strategic Incoherence Jan 4, 2020
Richard
N. Haass
Following its targeted killing of Iran's second most powerful
leader,
the US could well find itself with no alternative but to devote more
military resources to the Middle East, a path that could lead to
additional Iranian provocations. And that shift would occur at a time of
growing challenges to US interests elsewhere in the world.
NEW YORK –
The United States emerged from the Cold War some three
decades ago
possessing a historically unprecedented degree of absolute
and relative
power. What is baffling, and what will surely leave future
historians
scratching their heads, is why a series of US presidents
decided to devote
so much of this power to the Middle East and, indeed,
squander so much of
America’s might on the region.
This pattern can be traced back to George
W. Bush’s war of choice
against Iraq in 2003. The US did not need to go to
war there at that
moment; other options for containing Saddam Hussein were
available and
to a large extent already in place. But in the aftermath of
the
September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, Bush decided that he must act,
whether to prevent Saddam’s development and use of weapons of mass
destruction, to signal that America was no helpless giant, to trigger a
region-wide democratic transformation, or some combination of the
above.
His successor, Barack Obama, entered office determined to reduce
American involvement in the region. Obama removed US troops from Iraq
and, although he initially increased the number of US troops in
Afghanistan, set a timetable for their withdrawal.
The big strategic
idea of his administration was "rebalancing": US
foreign policy should
de-emphasize the Middle East and focus more on
Asia, the principal theater
in which the world’s trajectory in the new
century would be
decided.
But Obama had trouble seeing this strategy through. He never
completely
withdrew US forces from Afghanistan, reintroduced them into Iraq,
and
undertook an ill-conceived military campaign against Libya’s leader that
resulted in a failed state. Obama also voiced support for regime change
in Syria, although in that case his reluctance to involve the US further
in the Middle East won out.
When Donald Trump succeeded Obama close
to three years ago, he was
determined not to repeat the perceived mistakes
of his predecessor.
"America First" signaled a renewed emphasis on domestic
priorities;
economic sanctions and tariffs, rather than military force,
became the
preferred national security tool. The boom in domestic oil and
natural
gas production had made the US self-sufficient in terms of energy,
thereby reducing the direct importance of the Middle East. To the extent
foreign policy remained a US priority, it was to manage renewed
great-power rivalry, above all the challenges posed by China in Asia and
Russia in Europe. Indeed, China and Russia were singled out for
criticism in the 2017 National Security Strategy for wanting "to shape a
world antithetical to US values and interests."
In the Middle East,
Trump went out of his way to shrink the US footprint
and commitment. He
looked the other way when Iran attacked oil tankers,
US drones, and Saudi
oil refineries, and turned his back on the Kurds in
Syria, although they had
been America’s partner in defeating ISIS there.
"Let someone else fight over
this long-bloodstained sand," was what
Trump had to say this past October.
The principal exception to this
avoidance of military action was the US
strike in late December 2019 on
sites associated with Kataib Hezbollah, an
Iran-backed militia accused
of launching an attack days before that killed
an American contractor
and injured several service members.
It is
against this backdrop that Trump ordered the targeted killing of
General
Qassem Suleimani, by most accounts the second most powerful man
in Iran.
What prompted him to do so remains unclear. The administration
claims it had
intelligence that Suleimani was planning new attacks on US
diplomats and
soldiers. But the decision to act also could have been
motivated by images
of the US embassy in Baghdad under attack from
Iran-supported militia –
images that recalled the siege and subsequent
hostage-taking at the US
embassy in Tehran in November 1979 or of the
2012 attack on the US consulate
in Benghazi that Republicans used to
criticize then-Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton. Another contributing
factor might have been a tweet
attributed to Iran’s Supreme Leader
Ayatollah Khamenei that taunted Trump by
saying, "You can’t do anything."
Given Suleimani’s standing, Iran is
unlikely to back down. It has many
options at its disposal, including a wide
range of military, economic,
and diplomatic targets in many countries in the
region. It can operate
directly or through proxies; it can use armed force
or cyberattacks.
The US could well find itself with no alternative but to
devote more
military resources to the Middle East and to use them in
response to
what Iran does, a path that could lead to additional Iranian
provocations.
And that shift would occur at a time of growing concern
about North
Korea’s nuclear and missile programs, Russian military threats
to
Europe, the weakening of arms-control arrangements meant to curb
US-Russian nuclear competition, and the arrival of a new era of
technological, economic, military and diplomatic competition with
China.
The premise of my commentary in December was that the US was
increasingly distancing itself from the Middle East, owing to domestic
frustration with what wars there have wrought, reduced energy dependence
on the region, and a desire to focus its resources elsewhere in the
world and at home. It could well be that I got it wrong – or that Trump
has, by embarking on a course of action without first thinking through
the strategic consequences.
(12) JStreet condemns the killing but
makes no mention of Israel's role
https://jstreet.org/press-releases/on-brink-of-disaster-congress-must-act-to-prevent-trump-from-launching-disastrous-war-with-iran/
On
Brink Of Disaster, Congress Must Act To Prevent Trump From Launching
Disastrous War With Iran
January 3, 2020
J Street is deeply
alarmed by the Trump administration’s targeted
assassination of Iran’s
General Qassem Soleimani. This highly dangerous
step, taken without
congressional authorization, could trigger a
disastrous escalation costing
the lives of thousands and lead our
country into a devastating new war of
choice in the Middle East.
Soleimani was a malicious actor responsible
for deadly attacks on US
service personnel and the Iranian regime’s targets
throughout the
region, including many civilians. At the same time, the
assassination of
such a senior figure is an extremely reckless step taken by
an
out-of-control administration that has repeatedly signaled its contempt
for diplomacy and its interest in provoking an armed conflict with the
Iranian regime. Carrying out a strike that is likely to be viewed as an
act of war, without explicit congressional debate or authorization,
shows flagrant contempt for the Constitution.
Since the president’s
disastrous decision to unilaterally violate the
JCPOA nuclear agreement and
implement a so-called "maximum pressure"
campaign, Iran has only become more
dangerous and aggressive, hardliners
have been strengthened at the expense
of moderates and the region has
been further destabilized. The president and
his saber-rattling advisers
bear tremendous responsibility for the current
crisis — they are leading
us eagerly towards an abyss that will endanger
American servicepeople,
our allies in Israel and the Middle East and
millions of Iranian
civilians caught in the crossfire.
Congress must
now take immediate, decisive action to prevent a new war
which the American
people do not want. They must pass legislation making
explicitly clear that
the president does not have authorization to go to
war with Iran, and that
any such war would represent a clear violation
of the constitution. They
must force every member of Congress to take a
vote that will make publicly
clear whether they stand against war or
stand with this
president.
(13) Economist says Soleimani killing "tantamount to an act of
war"; US
will have to leave Iraq
https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2020/01/03/iran-vows-vengeance-after-america-kills-qassem-suleimani
A
big escalation
Iran vows vengeance after America kills Qassem
Suleimani
The strike on Iran’s most prominent commander will have
profound
consequences for the region
Middle East and Africa Jan 3rd
2020 | WASHINGTON, DC
PERHAPS HE CAME to believe his own myth, the aura
of invincibility he
worked so hard to cultivate. Early on January 3rd
General Qassem
Suleimani, Iran’s most storied and feared commander, stepped
off a plane
from Syria or Lebanon at Baghdad’s international airport. He
climbed
into a waiting convoy alongside the leader of an allied militia—a
seeming lapse in security, the two men travelling together, that
suggests the general felt safe in Iraq. Minutes later he was dead, his
vehicle blasted into scrap by an American drone flying overhead.
Few
believed the news as it trickled out on social media and satellite
television. Within hours, though, both sides had confirmed the rumours.
The supreme leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, praised General
Suleimani as a martyr and vowed "severe revenge". President Donald Trump
was uncharacteristically restrained: he simply tweeted an image of an
American flag. He left the formal announcement to the Pentagon, which
called this a "defensive action".
It was a dizzying escalation to cap
off a dizzying week. On December
27th dozens of rockets hit an Iraqi
military base near Kirkuk, killing
an American contractor. America responded
by bombing five bases used by
Kataib Hizbullah, an Iranian-backed Shia
paramilitary group. At least 25
of its men were killed. The group soon tried
to storm the American
embassy in Baghdad, besieging it for almost a full
day.
Then came the strike that killed General Suleimani and seven others,
including Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, the founder of Kataib Hizbullah and the
head of an umbrella group of pro-Iranian militias. The long conflict
between America and Iran has mostly been fought through proxies, spies
and sanctions. This was tantamount to an act of war—a rare overt strike
with profound consequences for the region.
General Suleimani led the
Quds Force, a branch of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) that
operates outside Iran. He was
Iran’s main interlocutor with Hizbullah, the
Lebanese Shia militia and
political party. In 2006, when it fought a
month-long war against
Israel, General Suleimani was in Lebanon to help
oversee the campaign.
He later lent his support to Bashar al-Assad, the
embattled Syrian
dictator, and to the Houthis, a Yemeni militia fighting a
brutal war
against a Saudi-led coalition. Supporters saw him as the face of
the
so-called "resistance" against America and Israel. To his detractors he
was more akin to a viceroy, an emblem of Iran’s deep and destructive
influence across the region. In Baghdad’s Tahrir Square, where Iraqis
have spent months protesting against Iran’s meddling in their country
(among other things), news of General Suleimani’s death was met with
cheers.
Americans knew him as the man who tormented their troops during
the
occupation of Iraq. General Suleimani trained Shia militias and supplied
them with "explosively formed penetrators", roadside bombs capable of
punching through the armour on American vehicles. They killed hundreds
of soldiers (one in every six American combat fatalities in Iraq were
attributable to Iran, says the Pentagon). Yet George W. Bush would not
allow cross-border raids to strike at the IRGC, and officers detained in
Iraq were released. Israel had opportunities to kill the general but
passed them up because of American pressure. Mr Trump, as is his wont,
broke with this long precedent.
The question now is how General
Suleimani’s successors will respond.
Many American analysts fret that Mr
Trump is blundering into a war. But
Iran will not seek an open confrontation
it would surely lose: its
antiquated military is no match for America’s.
Instead it will rely on
the asymmetric tactics that General Suleimani
perfected. It could hit
vulnerable infrastructure in Gulf states, or fire
rockets at Israel. It
could strike at American diplomats and military
personnel in Iraq and
elsewhere. (The State Department has urged Americans
to leave Iraq.)
Indeed, Iran and its proxies have done all those things
over the past
year. Until now Mr Trump has been hesitant to respond (while
often
offering to meet with Iran’s leaders). He ordered air strikes after
Iran
shot down an American drone in June, but recalled the planes when he
decided the response was disproportionate. A September missile attack on
two oil fields in Saudi Arabia, which America blamed on Iran, went
unanswered. In typically chaotic fashion, he has now zagged from
inaction to major escalation.
That raises the risks of an
uncontrolled cycle of tit-for-tat
retaliation. The regime in Tehran cares
about self-preservation. But of
late it has also seemed confident, even
cocky. The attack on Saudi
Aramco, itself an unprecedented strike on world
oil supplies, followed
months of Iran harassing tankers and warships in the
Persian Gulf. If
the IRGC hits back hard, it is impossible to predict what
Mr Trump might do.
In the short term the Iranian regime may bide its time
and use the
killing to whip up nationalist fervour at home. General
Suleimani was a
popular figure in an otherwise unloved regime. Only Mr
Khamenei appeared
on more of Tehran’s billboards. The feeling of admiration
was not
universal: General Suleimani was part of a security apparatus that
ruthlessly crushes dissent. "It’s good to see there really are some
checks and balances," says an academic in Tehran. Still, a state
funeral, and the mourning that follows, offers a distraction from the
crumbling economy that prompted a week of nationwide protests in
November.
America will have to rethink its own regional position. It may
be
impossible to keep American troops in Iraq, where they train the Iraqi
army and keep tabs on the jihadists of Islamic State (IS). The Iraqi
government might order the Americans out, long a goal of pro-Iranian
lawmakers. Even if it does not, the Pentagon may decide it is too hard
to protect American troops in a hostile land. Withdrawing from Iraq may
also end America’s rump deployment in Syria, which relies on Iraq for
logistics. With American troops gone IS would find more space to
regroup. American diplomats and spies face the threat of kidnapping or
assassination, both of which the IRGC has done in the past. Corporations
may have similar concerns about staff working on Iraqi oil fields and
elsewhere.
General Suleimani was a singular commander, in both his
skill and his
standing. He seemed to be everywhere, popping up on
battlefields all
across the Middle East. Some saw him as a future leader of
Iran—the real
power behind the clerics. His death is a blow to the ambitious
regional
policy he oversaw, far more significant than the raids that killed
Osama
bin Laden or Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the leaders of al-Qaeda and IS. By
the time of their deaths, those men were mere figureheads at the helm of
diminished organisations. General Suleimani was cut down in his prime,
at a time when Iran still wields great power across the region.
Less
clear is whether the strike will advance America’s stated goal of
creating a
less belligerent, more restrained Iran. Though it now seems a
distant
memory, the current tensions began with Mr Trump’s decision in
2018 to
withdraw from an agreement that lifted some sanctions on Iran in
exchange
for curbs on its nuclear programme. Any hope of renegotiating
that deal—of
finding a diplomatic solution to a steadily worsening
conflict—probably died
with General Suleimani.
(14) Philip Giraldi: US will be forced out of
Iraq, Syria & other Arab
states
http://ronpaulinstitute.org/archives/featured-articles/2020/january/03/the-soleimani-assassination-the-long-awaited-beginning-of-the-end-of-america-s-imperial-ambitions/
The
Soleimani Assassination: The Long-Awaited Beginning of The End of
America’s
Imperial Ambitions
written by philip giraldi friday january 3,
2020
The United States is now at war with Iran in a conflict that could
easily have been avoided and it will not end well. There will be no
declaration of war coming from either side, but the assassination of
Iranian Quds Force Commander General Qassem Soleimani and the head of
Kata’ib Hezbollah Abu Mehdi Muhandis by virtue of a Reaper drone strike
in Baghdad will shift the long-simmering conflict between the two
nations into high gear. Iran cannot let the killing of a senior military
officer go unanswered even though it cannot directly confront the United
States militarily. But there will be reprisals and Tehran’s suspected
use of proxies to stage limited strikes will now be replaced by more
damaging actions that can be directly attributed to the Iranian
government. As Iran has significant resources locally, one can expect
that the entire Persian Gulf region will be destabilized.
And there
is also the terrorism card, which will come into play. Iran
has an extensive
diaspora throughout much of the Middle East and, as it
has been threatened
by Washington for many years, it has had a long time
to prepare for a war to
be fought largely in the shadows. No American
diplomat, soldier or even
tourists in the region should consider him or
herself to be safe, quite the
contrary. It will be an "open season" on
Americans. The US has already
ordered a partial evacuation of the
Baghdad Embassy and has advised all
American citizens to leave the
country immediately.
Donald Trump rode
to victory in 2016 on a promise to end the useless
wars in the Middle East,
but he has now demonstrated very clearly that
he is a liar. Instead of
seeking detente, one of his first actions was
to end the JCPOA nuclear
agreement and re-introduce sanctions against
Iran. In a sense, Iran has from
the beginning been the exception to
Trump’s no-new-war pledge, a position
that might reasonably be directly
attributed to his incestuous relationship
with the American Jewish
community and in particular derived from his
pandering to the expressed
needs of Israel’s belligerent Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu.
Trump bears full responsibility for what comes next.
The
neoconservatives and Israelis are predictably cheering the result, with
Mark Dubowitz of the pro-Israel Foundation for Defense of Democracies
enthusing that it is "bigger than bin Laden…a massive blow to the
[Iranian] regime." Dubowitz, whose credentials as an "Iran expert" are
dubious at best, is at least somewhat right in this case. Qassem
Suleimani is, to be sure, charismatic and also very popular in Iran. He
is Iran’s most powerful military figure in the entire region, being the
principal contact for proxies and allies in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq. But
what Dubowitz does not understand is that no one in a military hierarchy
is irreplaceable. Suleimani’s aides and high officials in the
intelligence ministry are certainly more than capable of picking up his
mantle and continuing his policies.
In reality, the series of foolish
attacks initiated by the United States
over the past week will only hasten
the departure of much of the US
military from the region. The Pentagon and
White House have been
insisting that Iran was behind an alleged Kata’ib
Hezbollah attack on a
US installation that then triggered a strike by
Washington on claimed
militia targets in Syria and also inside Iraq. Even
though the US
military presence is as a guest of the Iraqi government,
Washington went
ahead with its attack even after the Iraqi Prime Minister
Adil
Abdul-Mahdi said "no."
To justify its actions, Mark Esper,
Secretary of Defense, went so far as
to insist that "Iran is at war with the
whole world," a clear
demonstration of just how ignorant the White House
team actually is. The
US government characteristically has not provided any
evidence
demonstrating either Iranian or Kata’ib involvement in recent
developments, but after the counter-strike killed 26 Iraqi soldiers, the
mass demonstrations against the Embassy in Baghdad became inevitable.
The demonstrations were also attributed to Iran by Washington even
though the people in the street were undoubtedly Iraqis.
Now that the
US has also killed Suleimani and Muhandis in a drone strike
at Baghdad
Airport, clearly accomplished without the approval of the
Iraqi government,
it is inevitable that the prime minister will ask
American forces to leave.
That will in turn make the situation for the
remaining US troops in
neighboring Syria untenable. And it will also
force other Arab states in the
region to rethink their hosting of US
soldiers, sailors, Marines and airmen
due to the law of unanticipated
consequences as it is now clear that
Washington has foolishly begun a
war that serves no one’s
interests.
The blood of the Americans, Iranians and Iraqis who will die
in the next
few weeks is clearly on Donald Trump’s hands as this war was
never
inevitable and served no US national interest. It will surely turn out
to be a debacle, as well as devastating for all parties involved. And it
might well, on top of Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria and Libya, be thegiraldi
The Soleimani. Let us hope so!
Reprinted with permission from the
American Herald Tribune.
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