Soros: Euro crisis caused by surrender of right to print money. Schacht
solution urged
(1) Trade: Rhine/Asia Model economies as a cause of
the Financial Crisis
(2) John Craig argues that Asia Model economies were a
cause of the
West's Financial Crisis
(3) City of London is offshoring
itself in readiness to fend off EU
regulation
(4) Southern Europe at risk
of social explosion, with millions of bored,
unemployed youths
(5) Soros:
Euro crisis was caused by member states’ surrender of right
to print
money
(6) Soros: Germany's imposition of austerity on Euro periphery is a
threat to Europe
(7) Soros: Eurozone needs a new treaty with a common
Treasury
(8) Inventor of 'Quantitative Easing' urges Adoption of Schacht's
recipe
to save the Euro
(9) Schacht offers a way to resolve Depression
& Financial Crisis -
Richard Werner
(10) QE3: Fed purchase of banks'
toxic assets. Benefit the people
instead - Ellen Brown
(1) Trade:
Rhine/Asia Model economies as a cause of the Financial Crisis
Peter
Myers, January 17, 2013
John Craig argues below - correctly in my view -
that the West's
financial troubles cannot be fixed without addressing the
Current
Account Deficit. The two main components of the Current Account
Deficit
are (a) the Trade Deficit and (b) the Income Deficit, ie. net
payment of
dividends & interest to Foreign investors.
Rhine Model
countries (ie Germany) and Asia Model countries (Japan,
Taiwan, Singapore,
South Korea, China) have chronic Current Account
Surpluses. They strain out
all the value-adding operations, keeping them
for themselves, while
relegating everyone else to the role of suppliers
of raw materials - hewers
of wood and drawers of water.
But for American military power, they would
be the new colonial masters
of the world.
John is right, but the
world's financial statistics are hopelessly
distorted by Transfer Pricing
and Tax Havens.
Transfer Pricing is an accounting trick which distorts
trade statistics,
by pretending that production or value-adding occurred in
an offshore
low-tax jurisdiction. Companies rig their books so that they
appear to
make a loss, or very little profit, in high-tax Western countries;
thus
they pay little or low tax there.
Many "Foreign Investors" in a
country may be its own wealthy citizens,
purporting to be "Foreign" by
pretending to be based offshore.
With Governments starved of taxes, and
indebted via Government bonds, a
turning point has been reached. The end of
Thatcherism and Reaganonimcs
is at hand. Selfishness is increasingly
preceived not as good, or even
ok, but a threat to the entire Capitalist
system. To save it, a complete
reversal of the Laissez-Faire policies of
recent decades is being called
for.
(2) John Craig argues that Asia
Model economies were a cause of the
West's Financial Crisis
From:
"John Craig" <john.cpds@gmail.com> Subject: RE:
China, Japan
"save" the West?
Date: Sat, 23 Jun 2012 08:33:58
+1000
Peter, I am happy for you to circulate anything that I send on, but
would appreciate it if ALL links to related documents were made
available to readers because otherwise they will not be able to get a
proper understanding of what I am trying to say. Usually significant
emails that I circulate wind up on my web-site.
Thus an alternative
to adding in all links would be to include a
reference to where the item
appears (with all links) on my web-site
(which I would always be happy to
provide). For example, item (6) below
is at http://cpds.apana.org.au/Teams/Articles/globalization.htm#20_6_12
Reply
(Peter M.):
John, I did intend to include a link to your your writing on
this topic,
<http://cpds.apana.org.au/Teams/Articles/AsiaSustainable.htm>,
and
thought that I had done so. Only after I sent the bulletin did I realize
that I had not. But I will put out this clarification from you.
(3)
City of London is offshoring itself in readiness to fend off EU
regulation
From: "Peter Wakefield Sault" <peter.sault@odeion.org>
Subject:
Re: UK becoming third-world? Australia's Mining "boom" creates
Current
Account Deficit
Date: Tue, 12 Jun 2012 19:03:32 +0100
Hi Peter, I
think you'll find the City of London is offshoring itself in
readiness for
the inevitable EU directives which would criminalize most
of what they do. I
suspect that Bermuda is the bolthole of choice.
Convenient flight time from
Heathrow, no income tax, still "subjects" of
the Wavey Hand Gang and, last
but most certainly not least, NOT a member
of the United Nations therefore
NOT subject to UN tax justice initiatives.
And then, after a pleasant
stopover in Hamilton, a short flight to
Nassau, Bahamas and the sunny Tax
Haven Islands beyond. Isn't life
splendid?!?!
(4) Southern Europe at
risk of social explosion, with millions of bored,
unemployed
youths
http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2012/06/europes-moment-passes/
Europe’s
moment passes
Posted by Delusional Economics in European Economy,
Featured Article on
June 19, 2012
I been covering the European crisis
for over two years and throughout my
commentary I have been very clear that
I consider the policy responses
to the crisis to be misguided, delusional
and dangerous. One of my major
concerns has been that the implementation of
what I see as a deluded
ideology would eventually lead to a breakdown of
cvil society in
periphery nations that are being forced to endure these
failings. As I
stated previously:
One of my greatest concerns is
that there are now literally
millions of bored, unemployed and socially
disenfranchised youths across
southern Europe. These numbers will continue
to grow as the mix of
government austerity and deflating private sector
economics pushes down
periphery GDP. …
Obviously this is an
economic disaster and I have been at the front
of the queue screaming about
misguided economic ideologies in Europe
that have led, and continue to lead,
to this situation. However, it
doesn’t take much of an imagination to
realise that this has the
potential to become something much more sinister
than just ugly looking
charts and that is my real concern.
It would
seem that Greece’s New Democracy party leaders have similar
concerns about
the direction of Greek society under the pressure of
austerity:
“My biggest fear is of a social explosion,” said a senior adviser
to the
country’s likely next prime minister, New Democracy leader
Antonis
Samaras.
“If there is no change in the policy mix, we’re going to
have a
social explosion even if you bring Jesus Christ to govern this
country.”
...
(5) Soros: Euro crisis was caused by member states’
surrender of right
to print money
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-accidental-empire
The
Accidental Empire
George Soros
June 7, 2012
NEW YORK – It
is now clear that the main cause of the euro crisis is the
member states’
surrender of their right to print money to the European
Central Bank. They
did not understand just what that surrender entailed
– and neither did the
European authorities.
When the euro was introduced, regulators allowed
banks to buy unlimited
amounts of government bonds without setting aside any
equity capital,
and the ECB discounted all eurozone government bonds on
equal terms.
Commercial banks found it advantageous to accumulate weaker
countries’
bonds to earn a few extra basis points, which caused interest
rates to
converge across the eurozone. Germany, struggling with the burdens
of
reunification, undertook structural reforms and became more competitive.
Other countries enjoyed housing and consumption booms on the back of
cheap credit, making them less competitive.
Then came the crash of
2008. Governments had to bail out their banks.
Some of them found themselves
in the position of a developing country
that had become heavily indebted in
a currency that it did not control.
Reflecting the divergence in economic
performance, Europe became divided
into creditor and debtor
countries.
When financial markets discovered that supposedly riskless
government
bonds might be forced into default, they raised risk premiums
dramatically. This rendered potentially insolvent commercial banks,
whose balance sheets were loaded with such bonds, giving rise to
Europe’s twin sovereign-debt and banking crisis.
The eurozone is now
replicating how the global financial system dealt
with such crises in 1982
and again in 1997. In both cases, the
international authorities inflicted
hardship on the periphery in order
to protect the center; now Germany is
unknowingly playing the same role.
The details differ, but the idea is
the same: creditors are shifting the
entire burden of adjustment onto
debtors, while the “center” avoids its
own responsibility for the
imbalances. Interestingly, the terms “center”
and “periphery” have crept
into usage almost unnoticed. Yet, in the euro
crisis, the center’s
responsibility is even greater than it was in 1982
or 1997: it designed a
flawed currency system and failed to correct the
defects. In the 1980’s,
Latin America suffered a lost decade; a similar
fate now awaits Europe.
...
(6) Soros: Germany's imposition of austerity on Euro periphery is a
threat to Europe
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-existential-crisis-of-the-european-union-by-george-soros
Europe’s
Crisis of Values
George Soros
December 31, 2012
NEW YORK –
Xenophobia and extremism are symptoms of societies in
profound crisis. In
2012, the far-right Golden Dawn won 21 seats in
Greece’s parliamentary
election, the right-wing Jobbik gained ground in
my native Hungary, and the
National Front’s Marine Le Pen received
strong backing in France’s
presidential election.
Growing support for similar forces across Europe
points to an
inescapable conclusion: the continent’s prolonged financial
crisis is
creating a crisis of values that is now threatening the European
Union
itself.
When it was only an aspiration, the European Union was
an immensely
attractive idea that fired many people’s imagination, including
mine. I
regarded it as the embodiment of an open society – a voluntary
association of sovereign states that were willing to give up part of
their sovereignty for the common good. They shared a common history, in
which the French Revolution, with its slogan of liberty, equality, and
fraternity, left a lasting legacy. Building on that tradition, member
states formed a union based on equality and not dominated by any state
or nationality.
The euro crisis has now turned the EU into something
radically
different. Far from being a voluntary association, the eurozone is
now
held together by harsh discipline; far from being an association of
equals it has become a hierarchical arrangement in which the center
dictates policy while the periphery is increasingly subordinated;
instead of fraternity and solidarity, hostile stereotypes
proliferate.
The integration process was spearheaded by a small group of
farsighted
statesmen who subscribed to open-society principles and practiced
what
Karl Popper called “piecemeal social engineering.” They recognized that
perfection is unattainable; so they set limited objectives and firm
timelines – and then mobilized the political will for a small step
forward, knowing full well that when they achieved it, its inadequacy
would become apparent, requiring further steps. That is how the European
Coal and Steel Community was gradually transformed into the
EU.
France and Germany used to be in the forefront of the effort. As the
Soviet empire disintegrated, Germany’s leaders recognized that German
reunification was possible only in the context of a more united Europe,
and they were prepared to make considerable sacrifices to achieve it.
When it came to bargaining, the Germans were willing to contribute a
little more and take a little less than others, thereby facilitating
agreement.
At the time, German statesmen would assert that Germany
had no
independent foreign policy, only a European one. This stance led to a
dramatic acceleration in European integration, culminating in the
adoption of the Maastricht Treaty in 1992 and the introduction of the
euro in 1999. A period of consolidation (which included the introduction
of euro banknotes and coins in 2002) followed.
Then came the crash of
2008, which originated in the United States but
caused greater problems in
Europe than anywhere else. Policymakers
responded to the collapse of Lehman
Brothers by announcing that no other
systemically important financial
institution would be allowed to fail,
which required substituting state
credit for frozen markets.
Shortly thereafter, however, German Chancellor
Angela Merkel asserted
that such guarantees had to be provided by each state
individually, not
by Europe collectively. That marked the beginning of the
euro crisis,
because it exposed a flaw in the single currency of which
neither the
authorities nor financial markets were aware – and which is
still not
fully recognized today.
By creating the European Central
Bank, the member states exposed their
own government bonds to the risk of
default. Developed countries that
issue bonds in their own currency never
default, because they can always
print money. Their currency may depreciate,
but the risk of default is
absent.
By contrast, less developed
countries that borrow in foreign currencies
may run out of currency
reserves. When a fiscal crisis hit Greece, the
financial world suddenly
discovered that eurozone members had put
themselves in the position of
developing countries.
There is a close parallel between the euro crisis
and the Latin American
debt crisis of 1982, when the International Monetary
Fund saved the
international financial system by lending just enough money
to the
heavily indebted countries to enable them to avoid default. But the
IMF
imposed strict austerity on these countries, pushing them into a
prolonged depression. Latin America suffered a lost decade.
Today,
Germany is playing the same role as the IMF did then. The setting
differs,
but the effect is the same. The euro crisis pushed the
financial system to
the verge of bankruptcy, which has been avoided by
imposing strict austerity
and lending countries like Greece just enough
money to avoid
default.
As a result, the eurozone has become divided into creditors and
debtors,
with the creditors in charge of economic policy. There is a center,
led
by Germany, and a periphery, consisting of the heavily indebted
countries. The creditors’ imposition of strict austerity on the
periphery is perpetuating the eurozone’s division between center and
periphery. Economic conditions are continuing to deteriorate, causing
immense human suffering. The innocent, frustrated, and angry victims of
austerity provide fertile ground for hate speech, xenophobia, and all
forms of extremism.
Thus, policies designed to preserve the financial
system and the euro
are transforming the EU into the opposite of an open
society. There is
an apparent contradiction between the euro’s financial
requirements and
the EU’s political objectives. The financial requirements
could be met
by replicating the arrangements that prevailed in the global
economy in
the 1980’s and dividing the eurozone into a center and periphery;
but
that could not be reconciled with the principles of an open
society.
There are ways in which the policies pursued to preserve the
euro could
be modified to meet the EU’s political objectives. For example,
individual countries’ government bonds could be replaced by Eurobonds.
But, insofar as the contradiction remains, the political objectives
ought to take precedence. Unfortunately, that is not the case. The
financial problems are pressing – and monopolizing politicians’
attention. Europe’s leaders are so preoccupied with the crisis of the
day that they have no time to ponder the long-term consequences of their
actions. As a result, they continue on a course that perpetuates the
division between center and periphery.
This is such a dismal prospect
that it must not be allowed to happen.
Originally, the EU was conceived as
an instrument of solidarity and
cooperation. Today, it is held together by
grim necessity. That is not
the Europe we want or need. We must reverse this
intolerable
transformation. We must find a way to recapture the spirit of
solidarity
and shared values that once inspired the European
imagination.
(7) Soros: Eurozone needs a new treaty with a common
Treasury
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-road-from-depression
The
Road from Depression
George Soros
Sept 29, 2011
NEW YORK –
Financial markets are driving the world towards another Great
Depression
with incalculable political consequences. The authorities,
particularly in
Europe, have lost control of the situation. They need to
regain control, and
they need to do so now.
Three bold steps are needed. First, the
governments of the eurozone must
agree in principle on a new treaty creating
a common treasury for the
eurozone. In the meantime, the major banks must be
put under the
direction of the European Central Bank in exchange for a
temporary
guarantee and permanent recapitalization. Third, the ECB would
enable
countries such as Italy and Spain temporarily to refinance their debt
at
a very low cost.
These steps would calm the markets and give
Europe time to develop a
growth strategy without which the debt problem
cannot be solved. Indeed,
the importance of developing a growth strategy
cannot be overstated,
because the debt burden – the ratio of debt to annual
GDP – rises and
falls in part as a function of the rate of economic
growth.
Since a eurozone treaty establishing a common treasury will take
a long
time to conclude, in the interim the member states must appeal to the
financial authority that already exists, the ECB, to fill the vacuum. In
its current form, the embryo of a common treasury – the European
Financial Stabilization Facility – is only a source of funds; how they
are spent is left to the member states. Enabling the EFSF to cooperate
with the ECB will require a newly created intergovernmental agency,
which will have to be authorized by Germany’s Bundestag and perhaps by
other eurozone members’ parliaments as well. ...
(8) Inventor of
'Quantitative Easing' urges Adoption of Schacht's recipe
to save the
Euro
August 23, 2012 • 6:26AM
http://larouchepac.com/node/23707
Richard
Werner, a German-born economist at the University of
Southampton, called for
a genuine Schachtian plan to save the euro, in
an interview with the Aug. 16
Daily Telegraph. Werner is credited for
having invented the term
"quantitative easing" in 1994, in proposing a
money-expansion policy to
Japan.
Reporting on Werner's proposal, James Hurley wrote in the
Telegraph:
"Hitler's central banker, Dr. Hjalmar Schacht, knew how to deal
with a
Great Depression, Prof. Werner tells us. He argues it's about time we
revived his sage economic ideas now.
"Firstly, the plan involves the
European Central Bank buying the banking
system's bad assets at face value,
which Prof. Werner says would not
cost taxpayers or cause
inflation.
"Next — and here's Dr. Schacht's 1930s magic — the Spanish
government
and others should stop selling pricey government bonds
entirely.
"Instead, they should fund themselves through loan contracts
from banks
in their countries, which Prof. Werner says would result in
cheaper
sovereign borrowing.
"All very appealing — but shouldn't we
be wary of using ideas favored by
the Nazis?
"'If we don't want to
adopt economic policies on the basis that they
were favored by Hitler's
government, which is an understandable
viewpoint, then we should not have
introduced the euro in the first
place,' Prof. Werner responds.
'The
introduction of a single European currency, with the central bank
located in
Germany, was, after all, favored by Hitler and his technocrats.'"
(9)
Schacht offers a way to resolve Depression & Financial Crisis -
Richard
Werner
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/citydiary/9478382/Pre-war-Germany-has-blueprint-to-end-debt-crisis.html
Pre-war
Germany has blueprint to end debt crisis
Dr Schacht’s 1930s magic says
the Spanish government and others should
stop selling pricey government
bonds entirely.
By James Hurley
8:00AM BST 16 Aug
2012
Professor Richard Werner, of the University of Southampton, says he
has
found a way to resolve Europe’s financial crisis, and Germany had it all
along.
No, German Chancellor Angela Merkel hasn’t been keeping it all
to
herself; the blueprint is a little older, and more controversial than
that.
Hitler’s central banker, Dr Hjalmar Schacht, knew how to deal with
a
great depression, Prof Werner tells us. He argues it’s about time we
revived his sage economic ideas now.
Firstly, the plan involves the
European Central Bank buying the banking
system’s bad assets at face value,
which Prof Werner says would not cost
taxpayers or cause
inflation.
Next – and here’s Dr Schacht’s 1930s magic – the Spanish
government and
others should stop selling pricey government bonds
entirely.
Instead, they should fund themselves through loan contracts
from banks
in their countries, which Prof Werner says would result in
cheaper
sovereign borrowing.
All very appealing – but shouldn’t we be
wary of using ideas favoured by
the Nazis?
“If we don’t want to adopt
economic policies on the basis that they were
favoured by Hitler’s
government, which is an understandable viewpoint,
then we should not have
introduced the euro in the first place,” Prof
Werner responds.
“The
introduction of a single European currency, with the central bank
located in
Germany, was, after all, favoured by Hitler and his
technocrats.”
...
(10) QE3: Fed purchase of banks' toxic assets. Benefit the people
instead - Ellen Brown
Date: Fri, 21 Sep 2012 15:48:46 -0700 From:
Ellen Brown
<ellenbrown33@gmail.com>
http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-money-supply-why-qe3-wont-jumpstart-the-economy-and-what-would/
The
Circulating Money Supply: Why QE3 Won’t Jumpstart the Economy—and
What
Would
By Ellen Brown
Global Research, September 21,
2012
The economy could use a good dose of “aggregate demand”—new spending
money in the pockets of consumers—but QE3 won’t do it. Neither will it
trigger the dreaded hyperinflation. In fact, it won’t do much at all.
There are better alternatives.
The Fed’s announcement on September
13, 2012, that it was embarking on a
third round of quantitative easing has
brought the “sound money” crew
out in force, pumping out articles with
frighting titles such as “QE3
Will Unleash’ Economic Horror’ On The Human
Race.” The Fed calls QE an
asset swap, swapping Fed-created dollars for
other assets on the banks’
balance sheets. But critics call it “reckless
money printing” and say it
will inevitably produce hyperinflation. Too much
money will be chasing
too few goods, forcing prices up and the value of the
dollar down.
All this hyperventilating could have been avoided by taking
a closer
look at how QE works. The money created by the Fed will go straight
into
bank reserve accounts, and banks can’t lend their reserves. The money
just sits there, drawing a bit of interest. The Fed’s plan is to buy
mortgage-backed securities (MBS) from the banks, but according to the
Washington Post, this is not expected to be of much help to homeowners
either.
Why QE3 Won’t Expand the Circulating Money Supply
In
its third round of QE, the Fed says it will buy $40 billion in MBS
every
month for an indefinite period. To do this, it will essentially
create money
from nothing, paying for its purchases by crediting the
reserve accounts of
the banks from which it buys them. The banks will
get the dollars and the
Fed will get the MBS. But the banks’ balance
sheets will remain the same,
and the circulating money supply will
remain the same.
When the Fed
engages in QE, it takes away something on the asset side of
the bank’s
balance sheet (government securities or mortgage-backed
securities) and
replaces it with electronically-generated dollars. These
dollars are held in
the banks’ reserve accounts at the Fed. They are
“excess reserves,” which
cannot be spent or lent into the economy by the
banks. They can only be lent
to other banks that need reserves, or used
to obtain other assets (new
loans, bonds, etc.). As Australian economist
Steve Keen
explains:
[R]eserves are there for settlement of accounts between banks,
and for
the government’s interface with the private banking sector, but not
for
lending from. Banks themselves may . . . swap those assets for other
forms of assets that are income-yielding, but they are not able to lend
from them.
This was also explained by Prof. Scott Fullwiler, when he
argued a year
ago for another form of QE—the minting of some trillion dollar
coins by
the Treasury (he called it “QE3 Treasury Style”). He explained why
the
increase in reserve balances in QE is not inflationary:
Banks
can’t “do” anything with all the extra reserve balances. Loans
create
deposits—reserve balances don’t finance lending or add any “fuel”
to the
economy. Banks don’t lend reserve balances except in the federal
funds
market, and in that case the Fed always provides sufficient
quantities to
keep the federal funds rate at its . . . interest rate
target. Widespread
belief that reserve balances add “fuel” to bank
lending is flawed, as I
explained here over two years ago.
Since November 2008, when QE1 was
first implemented, the monetary base
(money created by the Fed and the
government) has indeed gone up. But
the circulating money supply, M2, has
not increased any faster than in
the previous decade, and loans have
actually gone down.
Quantitative easing has had beneficial effects on the
stock market, but
these have been temporary and are evidently psychological:
people THINK
the money supply will inflate, providing more money to invest,
inflating
stock prices, so investors jump in and buy. The psychological
effect
eventually wears off, requiring a new round of QE to keep the game
going.
That is what happened with QE1 and QE2. They did not reduce
unemployment, the alleged target; but they also did not drive up the
overall price level. The rate of price inflation has actually been lower
after QE than before the program began.
Why, Then, Is the Fed
Bothering to Engage in QE3?
If the Fed is doing no more than swapping
bank assets, what is the point
of this whole exercise? The Fed’s professed
justification is that by
buying mortgage-backed securities, it will lower
interest rates for
homeowners and other long-term buyers. As explained in
Reuters:
Massive buying of any asset tends to push up the prices, and
because of
the way the bond market works, rising prices force yields [or
interest
rates] down. Because the Fed is buying mortgage-backed bonds, the
purchases act to directly lower the cost of borrowing to buy a home. In
addition, some investors, put off by the rising price of the bonds that
the Fed is buying, turn to other assets, like corporate bonds – which,
in turn, pushes up corporate bond prices and lowers those yields, making
it cheaper for companies to borrow – and spend.
Those are the
professed objectives, but politics may also play a role.
QE drives up the
stock market in anticipation of an increase in the
amount of money available
to invest, a good political move before an
election.
Commodities
(oil, food and precious metals) also go up, since “hot
money” floods into
them. Again, this is evidently because investors
EXPECT inflation to drive
commodities up, and because lowered interest
rates on other investments
prompt investors to look elsewhere. There is
also evidence that commodities
are going up because some major market
players are colluding to manipulate
the price, a criminal enterprise.
The Fed does bear some responsibility
for the rise in commodity prices,
since it has created an expectation of
inflation with QE, and it has
kept interest rates low. But the price rise
has not been from flooding
the economy with money. If dollars were flooding
economy, housing and
wages (the largest components of the price level) would
have shot up as
well. But they have remained low, and overall price
increases have
remained within the Fed’s 2% target range. (See chart
above.)
Some Possibilities That Might Be More Effective at Stimulating
the Economy
An injection of money into the pockets of consumers would
actually be
good for the economy, but QE3 won’t do it. The Fed could give
production
and employment a bigger boost by using its lender-of-last-resort
status
in more direct ways than the current version of QE.
It could
make the very-low-interest loans given to banks available to
state and
municipal governments, or to students, or to homeowners. It
could rip up the
$1.7 trillion in government securities that it already
holds, lowering the
national debt by that amount (as suggested a year
ago by Ron Paul). Or it
could buy up a trillion dollars’ worth of
securitized student debt and rip
those securities up. These moves might
require some tweaking of the Federal
Reserve Act, but Congress has done
it before to serve the
banks.
Another possibility would be the sort of “quantitative easing”
first
proposed by Ben Bernanke in 2002, before he was chairman of the
Fed—just
drop hundred dollar bills from helicopters. (This is roughly
similar to
the Social Credit solution proposed by C. H. Douglas in the
1920s.) As
Martin Hutchinson observed in Money Morning:
With a U.S.
population of 310 million, $31 billion per month, dropped
from helicopters,
would have given every American man, woman and child
an extra crisp new $100
bill per month.
Yes, it would produce an extra $31 billion per month on
the nominal
Federal budget deficit, but the Fed would have printed the new
bills, so
there would have been no additional strain on the nation’s
finances.
It would be much better than a new social program, because
there would
have been no bureaucracy involved, just bill printing and
helicopter fuel.
The money would nearly all have been spent, increasing
consumption by
perhaps $300 billion annually, creating perhaps 3 million
jobs, and
reducing unemployment by almost 2%.
None of these moves
would drive the economy into hyperinflation.
According to the Fed’s figures,
as of July 2010, the money supply was
actually $4 trillion LESS than it was
in 2008. That means that as of
that date, $4 trillion more needed to be
pumped into the money supply
just to get the economy back to where it was
before the banking crisis hit.
As the psychological boost from QE3 wears
off and the “fiscal cliff”
looms, perhaps Congress and the Fed will consider
some of these more
direct approaches to relieving the economy’s intractable
doldrums.
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