'German-Japanese' model economies challenge 'Englishspeaking'
Libertarian
model
Newsletter published on 12-02-2013
(1) 'German-Japanese' model economies challenge 'Englishspeaking'
Libertarian model
(2) Asian Mercantilist economies challenge Liberal
US/UK - Dani Rodrik
(3) Liberal capitalism (UK-US) losing to State capitalism
of Germany,
Asia Model countries
(4) Rhine model / Asia model economies
trounce Anglo-Saxon /
Englishspeaking model
(5) Collectivism beats
Individualism: 'German-Japanese' model vs
'Englishspeaking' Libertarian
model
(6) German collectivism does not extend to the Periphery; Germany &
Japan influenced by Anglo-Saxon model
(1) 'German-Japanese' model
economies challenge 'Englishspeaking'
Libertarian model
Peter Myers,
February 12, 2013
The bulk of this newsletter arises from discussions
with Arno Mong
Daastoel of Norway. Arno has just completed his Ph.D. thesis
on the
economic theories of Friedrich List, which are followed by Rhine
Model
and Asia Model economies.
The differences between the those and
the 'Englishspeaking' economies
are described in the book Capitalism Against
Capitalism, by Michael
(Michel) Albert (1993) (items 4-5).
Arno
agrees (item 6) that since the above book was written, Germany and
Japan
have been partially influenced by the Anglo-Saxon /
Englishspeaking
model.
The ECB and IMF also follow the Anglo-Saxon / Englishspeaking
model and
impose it on others.
Arno further agrees (item 6) that
German collectivism does not extend to
the Periphery. Thus, in the current
financial crisis in which the
European periphery is indebted to the German
centre, Germany has been
following selfish policies detrimental to Europe as
a whole.
Were Australia to be integrated into an East Asian zone,
creditors Japan
and China could be assumed to take an equally selfish
line.
The point being that, while collectivist economies are beneficial
for
their citizens, the benefits stop at the border. These societies think
of citizenship as based on descent (blood) rather than place-of-birth.
Such societies reach out to a diaspora around the world, encouraging
expatriates to maintain a "spiritual" bond with the
motherland/fatherland and to retain primary allegiance to it.
Israeli
citizenship is also based on descent (blood), although the Law
of Return
includes "spiritual" factors.
(2) Asian Mercantilist economies challenge
Liberal US/UK - Dani Rodrik
Date: Mon, 11 Feb 2013 13:13:31 +0100 From:
Arno Mong Daastoel
<am@daastol.com>
Subject: "The New
Mercantilist Challenge"
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-return-of-mercantilism-by-dani-rodrik
The
New Mercantilist Challenge
by Dani Rodrik {Professor of International
Political Economy at Harvard
University’s Kennedy School of
Government}
Jan. 9, 2013
CAMBRIDGE – The history of economics is
largely a struggle between two
opposing schools of thought, “liberalism” and
“mercantilism.” Economic
liberalism, with its emphasis on private
entrepreneurship and free
markets, is today’s dominant doctrine. But its
intellectual victory has
blinded us to the great appeal – and frequent
success – of mercantilist
practices. In fact, mercantilism remains alive and
well, and its
continuing conflict with liberalism is likely to be a major
force
shaping the future of the global economy.
Today, mercantilism
is typically dismissed as an archaic and blatantly
erroneous set of ideas
about economic policy. And, in their heyday,
mercantilists certainly did
defend some very odd notions, chief among
which was the view that national
policy ought to be guided by the
accumulation of precious metals – gold and
silver.
Adam Smith’s 1776 treatise The Wealth of Nations masterfully
demolished
many of these ideas. Smith showed, in particular, that money
should not
be confused for wealth. As he put it, “the wealth of a country
consists,
not in its gold and silver only, but in its lands, houses, and
consumable goods of all different kinds.”
But it is more accurate to
think of mercantilism as a different way to
organize the relationship
between the state and the economy – a vision
that holds no less relevance
today than it did in the eighteenth
century. Mercantilist theorists such as
Thomas Mun were in fact strong
proponents of capitalism; they just
propounded a different model than
liberalism.
The liberal model views
the state as necessarily predatory and the
private sector as inherently
rent-seeking. So it advocates a strict
separation between the state and
private business. Mercantilism, by
contrast, offers a corporatist vision in
which the state and private
business are allies and cooperate in pursuit of
common objectives, such
as domestic economic growth or national
power.
The mercantilist model can be derided as state capitalism or
cronyism.
But when it works, as it has so often in Asia, the model’s
“government-business collaboration” or “pro-business state” quickly
garners heavy praise. Lagging economies have not failed to notice that
mercantilism can be their friend. Even in Britain, classical liberalism
arrived only in the mid-nineteenth century – that is, after the country
had become the world’s dominant industrial power.
A second difference
between the two models lies in whether consumer or
producer interests are
privileged. For liberals, consumers are king. The
ultimate objective of
economic policy is to increase households’
consumption potential, which
requires giving them unhindered access to
the cheapest-possible goods and
services.
Mercantilists, by contrast, emphasize the productive side of
the
economy. For them, a sound economy requires a sound production
structure. And consumption needs to be underpinned by high employment at
adequate wages.
These different models have predictable implications
for international
economic policies. The logic of the liberal approach is
that the
economic benefits of trade arise from imports: the cheaper the
imports,
the better, even if the result is a trade deficit. Mercantilists,
however, view trade as a means of supporting domestic production and
employment, and prefer to spur exports rather than imports.
Today’s
China is the leading bearer of the mercantilist torch, though
Chinese
leaders would never admit it – too much opprobrium still
attaches to the
term. Much of China’s economic miracle is the product of
an activist
government that has supported, stimulated, and openly
subsidized industrial
producers – both domestic and foreign.
Although China phased out many of
its explicit export subsidies as a
condition of membership in the World
Trade Organization (which it joined
in 2001), mercantilism’s support system
remains largely in place. In
particular, the government has managed the
exchange rate to maintain
manufacturers’ profitability, resulting in a
sizable trade surplus
(which has come down recently, but largely as a result
of an economic
slowdown). Moreover, export-oriented firms continue to
benefit from a
range of tax incentives.
From the liberal
perspective, these export subsidies impoverish Chinese
consumers while
benefiting consumers in the rest of the world. A recent
study by the
economists Fabrice Defever and Alejandro Riaño of the
University of
Nottingham puts the “losses” to China at around 3% of
Chinese income, and
gains to the rest of the world at around 1% of
global income. From the
mercantilist perspective, however, these are
simply the costs of building a
modern economy and setting the stage for
long-term prosperity.
As the
example of export subsidies shows, the two models can co-exist
happily in
the world economy. Liberals should be happy to have their
consumption
subsidized by mercantilists.
Indeed, that, in a nutshell, is the story of
the last six decades: a
succession of Asian countries managed to grow by
leaps and bounds by
applying different variants of mercantilism. Governments
in rich
countries for the most part looked the other way while Japan, South
Korea, Taiwan, and China protected their home markets, appropriated
“intellectual property,” subsidized their producers, and managed their
currencies.
We have now reached the end of this happy coexistence.
The liberal model
has become severely tarnished, owing to the rise in
inequality and the
plight of the middle class in the West, together with the
financial
crisis that deregulation spawned. Medium-term growth prospects for
the
American and European economies range from moderate to bleak.
Unemployment will remain a major headache and preoccupation for
policymakers. So mercantilist pressures will likely intensify in the
advanced countries.
As a result, the new economic environment will
produce more tension than
accommodation between countries pursuing liberal
and mercantilist paths.
It may also reignite long-dormant debates about the
type of capitalism
that produces the greatest prosperity.
(3) Liberal
capitalism (UK-US) losing to State capitalism of Germany,
Asia Model
countries
Is State Capitalism Winning?
by Daron Acemoglu and James
A. Robinson
Dec. 31, 2012
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-china-s-growth-model-will-fail-by-daron-acemoglu-and-james-a--robinson
CAMBRIDGE
– In the age-old contest of economic-growth models, state
capitalism has
seemed to be gaining the upper hand in recent years.
Avatars of liberal
capitalism like the United States and the United
Kingdom continued to
perform anemically in 2012, while many Asian
countries, relying on various
versions of dirigisme, have not only grown
rapidly and steadily over the
last several decades, but have also
weathered recent economic storms with
surprising grace. So, is it time
to update the economics
textbooks?
In fact, economics does not say that unfettered markets are
better than
state intervention or even state capitalism. The problems with
state
capitalism are primarily political, not economic. Any real-world
economy
is riddled with market failures, so a benevolent and omnipotent
government could sensibly intervene quite often. But who has ever met a
benevolent or omnipotent government?
To understand the logic of state
capitalism, it is useful to recall some
early examples – not the socialist
command economies or modern societies
seeking to combat market failures, but
ancient civilizations. Indeed, it
seems that, like farming or democracy,
state capitalism has been
independently invented many times in world
history.
Consider the Greek Bronze Age, during which many powerful
states,
organized around a city housing the political elite, formed
throughout
the Mediterranean basin. These states had no money and
essentially no
markets. The state taxed agricultural output and controlled
nearly all
goods production. It monopolized trade, and, in the absence of
money,
moved all of the goods around by fiat. It supplied food and inputs to
weavers and then took their output. In essence, the Greek Bronze Age
societies had something that looked remarkably like state
capitalism.
So did the Incas as they built their huge Andean empire in
the century
before the Spanish arrived. They, too, had no money (or
writing); but
the state conducted decennial censuses, built roughly 25,000
miles
(40,000 kilometers) of roads, operated a system of runners to send
messages and collect information, and recorded it all using knotted
strings called quipus, most of which cannot be read today. All of this
was part of their control of land and labor, based on centrally planned
allocation of resources and coercion.
How is it that societies as
disparate as the Greek Bronze Age cities of
Knossos, Mycenae, or Pylos, the
Inca Empire, Soviet Russia, South Korea,
and now China all ended up with
state capitalism?
The answer lies in recognizing that state capitalism is
not about
efficient allocation of economic resources, but about maximizing
political control over society and the economy. If state managers can
grab all productive resources and control access to them, this maximizes
control – even if it sacrifices economic efficiency.
To be sure, in
many parts of the world, state capitalism has helped to
consolidate states
and centralize authority – preconditions for the
development of modern
societies and economies. But political control of
the economy generally
becomes problematic, because those running the
state do not have social
welfare or optimal resource allocation in mind.
The state capitalism of the
Greek Bronze Age or the Inca Empire was not
motivated by economic
inefficiency; nor did it necessarily create a more
efficient economy. What
it did was help to consolidate political power.
At a deeper level, the
real dichotomy is not between state capitalism
and unfettered markets; it is
between extractive and inclusive economic
institutions. Extractive
institutions create a non-level playing field,
rents, and narrowly
concentrated benefits for those with political power
and connections.
Inclusive institutions create a level playing field and
give incentives and
opportunities to the great mass of people.
But herein lies the problem
for state capitalism: inclusive institutions
require a private sector
powerful enough to counterbalance and check the
state. Thus, state ownership
tends naturally to remove one of the key
pillars of an inclusive society. It
should be no surprise that state
capitalism is almost always associated with
authoritarian regimes and
extractive political institutions.
This is
not an endorsement of unfettered markets. The state plays a
central role in
modern society, and rightly so. Modern economic growth,
even under inclusive
institutions, often creates deep inequalities and
tilted playing fields,
endangering those institutions’ very survival.
The modern regulatory and
redistributive state can, within certain
bounds, help to redress these
problems. But the success of such a
project crucially depends on society
having control over the state – not
the other way around.
To argue
that state capitalism’s success proves its superiority is to
put the cart
before the horse. Yes, South Korea grew rapidly under state
capitalism, and
China is doing likewise today. But state capitalism
emerged not because
there was no other way to ensure economic growth in
these countries, but
because it enabled growth without destabilizing the
existing power
structure. The genius of China’s state capitalism is that
it ensured the
continued dominance of Communist Party elites while
improving the allocation
of resources, not that it alone could have
provided price incentives to
farmers and then managed liberalization of
urban markets.
State
capitalism will persist so long as existing elites are able to
maintain it
and benefit from it – even if economic growth ultimately
stalls. And there
is a good reason why it eventually will. Sustained
economic growth
presupposes inclusive institutions, because innovation –
and the creative
destruction and instability that it wreaks – depends on
them. Extractive
institutions in general, and state capitalism in
particular, can support
economic growth for a while, but only the sort
of catch-up growth that South
Korea experienced from the 1960’s to the
1980’s, before starting to
transform its society and economy more radically.
As the low hanging
fruit from catch-up growth is consumed, China, too,
will be forced to choose
between the economic and social freedom,
innovation, and instability that
only inclusive institutions can
underpin and continued economic, political,
and social control in the
service of the elites who control the
state.
Commented
John Garrett
The authors state that, in
state capitalism, elites in the state exert
power/control over the economy
an society, "state capitalism is ...
about maximizing political control over
society and the economy. If
state managers can grab all productive resources
and control access to
them, this maximizes control ..." However, Dr.
Stiglitz and others have
argued that, in the US, the flow of power is
reversed; that is, the
elites in the economy (the financial sector) have
exerted their control
over the state (and society). This suggests an
alternative
post-developing-country model for state capitalism.
[...]
Sergio Quirós Navas @quiros_navas
Countries that have embraced
unfettered markets might have problems
changing their path towards a "modern
regulatory and redistributive
state!. The problem we are facing in the US
-an avatar of capitalism, as
mentioned above- is that its powerful private
sector is not checking the
state but increasingly controlling it. This is,
in my opinon, another
example of the self-destructive nature of current
capitalism: disruptive
innovation is being interrupted by powerful incumbent
firms who control,
through lobbying, regulations that guarantee their
hegemony. Elected
representatives are spending "an ever-increasing amount of
their time
chasing donors for funds (...) as opposed to chasing citizens for
votes"
(http://blogs.hbr.org/cs/2012/12/how_corruption_is_strangling_us_innovation.html).
And
this kind of legalized corruption cannot possibly stop when
incumbent firms
and their lobbyists -the benefeciaries of the
regulation- are controlling
regulation.
Thus, we have state capitalism in which power is in the hands of
the
political elite and we have the closest to unfettered capitalism
available in the real world -the US- in which power is in the hands of
big powerful corporations. How to get out of there?
(4) Rhine model /
Asia model economies trounce Anglo-Saxon /
Englishspeaking
model
Date: Sat, 02 Feb 2013 11:47:57 +0100 From: Arno Mong Daastoel
<am@daastol.com>
Capitalism
Against Capitalism
Michael (Michel) Albert
London: Whurr,
1993
http://www.amazon.com/Capitalism-Against-Series-Ec-Whurr/dp/1870332547
On
the one hand is the "neo-American" model based on individual
achievement and
short-term profits. On the other is the Rhine model
practices in
Switzerland, Germany, Benelux, Northern Europe and, partly,
in Japan. In the
Rhine model collective achievement and public concensus
are seen as the keys
to long-term success.
The first is more seductive, the second more
effective. These two
opposing forms of capitalism are engaged in a war
which, like all
internal conflicts, involves both secrecy and even
hypocrisy. The
outcome of this struggle could affect the quality of life on
all levels
of society.
(5) Collectivism beats Individualism:
'German-Japanese' model vs
'Englishspeaking' Libertarian
model
Capitalism Against Capitalism
How America's Obsession with
Individual Achievement and Short-term
Profit Has Led It to the Brink of
Collapse
by Michel Albert
Introduction by Felix G.
Rohatyn
Translated by Paul Haviland
Wiley, 1993
http://faculty.arts.ubc.ca/tiberg/MPA_Asia_Apr_2010_readings/Albert.%20Capitalism%20Vs.%20Capitalism%20Ch.%201%20and%206.pdf
{p.
5} There is little doubt that capitalism is no monolithic structure,
but an
aggregate of tendencies out of which, in each case, two diverging
currents,
two broad 'schools' emerge ... and challenge one another for
supremacy.
Hence, Capitalism Vs. Capitalism.
Immigration
Immigration could
well tum out to be the subject of political debate in
most of the developed
nations in the twenty-first century. Its interest
for the capitalist lies
principally in the fact that imported labor will
{p. 6} nearly always
provide a given output of work at a lower cost than
domestic labor. This
probably explains why the USA has dramatically
relaxed its once stringent
immigration policies, notably to the
advantage of Latin Americans. In 1986,
a broad amnesty allowed up to 3
million clandestine immigrants to obtain
their papers; another law,
passed in 1990, ensures that legal immigration
will increase to 700 000
newcomers a year (from 470 000) by 1995. This is in
spite of the fact
that the famous melting pot is showing signs of cracking.
Today we hear
talk of the 'New Tribalism' of America's multifarious ethnic
groups, who
are more concerned with affirming their separate cultural
identities
than with becoming 'typical Americans'.
Looking towards
Japan - a genuine capitalist country - the contrast
could hardly be more
striking. Japan is an ethnically closed country;
that it is also very
densely populated may be one, but not the only,
explanation. What is certain
is that the treatment meted out to Korean
or Filipino immigrants in Japan
would not be tolerated in the USA; the
Japanese find equally unimaginable
the idea that General Colin Powell,
the Chairman of the Armed Forces Joint
Chiefs of Staff - who happens to
be Black - would have been a hugely popular
choice as George Bush's
running mate in 1992, according to opinion
polls.
Turning to Europe, Britain - like America - has traditionally
shown
great latitude in granting citizenship to it immigrants, whether from
the West Indies, Africa or Asia; Germany, on the contrary, applies the
criterion of blood descent in determining its citizenship and
immigration policies. This means that there is room in the country, and
in the culture, to embrace newcomers ofGerman ancestry from around the
world, but no room (at least in the culture) to absorb the country's
Turkish immigrants. The pattern reveals an Anglo-American model of
immigration on the one hand, and a German-Japanese model on the
other.
Poverty
The question of poverty (frequently linked to that
of immigration)
provokes deeply divergent approaches from the various
capitalist
countries, both in the way it is asked and in the way the
response is
organized in practice. First of all, what does it mean to be
poor? In
most human societies down through the ages, the poor man (or woman)
has
been viewed as a pathetic character, a hopeless case, a failure, a
shiftless
{p. 7} good-for-nothing: suspect, if not actually
guilty.
Even today, it is doubtful that there is anywhere a society where
the
privilege of being employed does not also entail at least a hint of
scorn for those who are not so privileged. In the two most powerful
capitalist economies, the USA and Japan, it is more than a hint: there,
the unemployed are at best weaklings who lack the drive and
determination to adapt to the requirements of the labor market, at worst
incorrigible shirkers.
Neither country, as a result of this deeply
rooted attitude, has any
intention of setting up the kind of social
protection system that
European countries set up to tackle chronic poverty
and unemployment -
which they did nearly 50 years ago, when the average
European income was
just a fraction of what the average American or Japanese
earns today.
The contrast, once again, is stark. Part of the explanation may
lie in
the traditional European view that the poor are more sinned against
than
sinning - victims, not culprits. There is more scope, more room for
nuances in the European perception, which sees links between poverty and
ignorance and more readily takes account of personal tragedy or social
disadvantage.
Europe is nevertheless faced with the problem of
actually paying for its
welfare systems, knowing as it does that its two
great industrial rivals
are troubled by no such fiscal burden. France, in
particular, is in
urgent need of a solution to this very problem.
How
does social security affect economic development?
This question actually
precedes that of society's attitude towards
poverty, .and is every bit as
controversial. For the Reagan-Thatcher
school ofcapitalists, the welfare
state is a hindrance to development:
they would argue that social security
inevitably creates a dependency
syndrome which rewards laziness and
encourages irresponsibility. (Yet it
is a curious footnote to the Thatcher
era that, in more than a decade of
radical reform, the NHS remained largely
intact.) As for the Japanese,
social security is not considered a matter for
the state; rather, it is
up to businesses to provide some form of social
safety net, insofar as
they can afford to do so - and many small firms
cannot. Japanese
capitalists are here in agreement with the new
Anglo-American
conservatism, even though their companies help fund a variety
of
optional social insurance schemes.
{p. 8} A different view
prevails in much of Europe. From the Alps to the
Benelux countries and in
Scandinavia, social security enjoys broad
support: it has traditionally been
seen as the rightful outcome of
economic progress, and there are many who
would argue that it positively
promotes development by preventing the
creation of a permanent
'underclass' of the poor who, beyond a certain
point, cannot be
salvaged. This is the reasoning behind policies of
guaranteed income
support, as applied in all the highly developed European
nations
(Germany, France, Holland, Denmark, and... yes, Britain
too).
Not coincidentally, this traditional view is most loudly trumpeted
at
election time. Nevertheless, there is evidence of a shift in the
European political debate over social security, whose fiscal burden on
the economy (and its consequent effect on international competitiveness)
is i-ncreasingly open to question. Even in Stockholm, the famous
'Swedish model' is for this reason under attack from the Social
Democratic government itself.
Conversely, the lack of adequate social
security provision in the USA is
judged intolerable by a growing section of
American public opinion - but
not yet by the majority. Clearly, the issue
ofsocial protection is,
today more than ever, one which the capitalist logic
cannot avoid.
The income spread
The use of wage differentials
and salary scales to motivate workers is a
fundamental part of the
capitalist logic. Individuals are to be paid
individually, according to
output - end of argument. Policies on hiring
and firing form a subset within
this same implacable arithmetic.
There is a large American insurance
company whose pay policy has made it
famous throughout the industry. Every
year, it publishes its 'Christmas
list' of staff performance: the company
calculates how much each
employee costs the firm, and how much each one
brings in; salaries (and
careers) are then adjusted accordingly. In America,
at least, this
offends nobody.
In the days when social welfare and
state interventionism were thought
to be signs of progress, the gap between
top and bottom incomes was
gradually narrowing in all the major
industrialized countries. Then came
the conservative revolution of the
1980s, and now the
{p. 9} gap has started to widen again in the USA,
Britain and a number
of other camp-followers of the Anglo-American model. In
France, for
example, the majority view now seems to be that the demands of
economic
competitiveness justify a broader spread of incomes than is
presently
the case.
But there are other capitalist countries where
the private sector
deliberately endeavors to keep the income spread within
certain
well-defined limits. Japan provides the most striking example of
collective, consensual pay bargaining, in which the added factor of
strong company loyalty proves to be a greater incentive than mere money.
The income gap is similarly held in check in the 'Alpine economies' (I
will explain this term later) of Switzerland, Austria and Germany. Yet
in all of these countries, traditional attitudes are once again being
challenged. There are impatient voices within the ranks of the
professions, business and industry who are calling for greater
recognition - and rewards - for their talents from an ageing senior
management still clinging to yesterday's prerogatives.
Should
taxation promote savings or borrowing?
In France, public opinion is still
largely in favor of the former,
although the level of savings is steadily
dropping. In Germany and
Japan, thrift is an almost patriotic virtue, and
the tax structure is
designed to encourage it.
At the other end of
the scale is the USA, where prodigality rules:
personal success is measured
in terms of external signs of opulence -
conspicuous consumption' - notably
since the Reagan revolution. The tax
structure is designed to encourage
borrowing, given that the higher
one's level of indebtedness, the less the
taxman can take. In which
case, why pass up the opportunity to consume
conspicuously... on credit?
The 1980s produced a spectacular turnaround in
this department in both
the USA and the UK: in the space of 10 years
American household savings,
as a proportion of disposable income, fell from
over 13 per cent to 5
per cent, while British savings plummeted from 7 per
cent to less than 3
per cent.
The pattern is again that of Germany
and Japan in one camp, America and
the UK in the other. It should come as no
surprise that the former have,
for some time now, been financing the latter.
The
{p. 10} reason is plain: over the last decade, German and Japanese
households have been saving at about twice the rate of their British and
American counterparts.
Capitalist nations cannot do without a healthy
level of personal
savings, and the gap that now separates the two camps is
untenable in
the longer term. Anglo-American capitalism now faces the urgent
task of
persuading its electorate to rediscover the virtues of thrift, as
once
practised in Puritan (or Victorian) times. It is likely to be an uphill
struggle, not least because the 'savings gap', as we shall see, is like
a magnifying glass which reveals in fine detail both the causes and the
consequences of the conflict between the two strains of
capitalism.
Which is the better strategy: More state regulation (and
hence more
civil servants in charge of enforcement) or less regulation
(hence more
lawyers to deal with the increase in litigation)? In all places
and at
all times, capitalists have objected to official regulation, and
never
more so than when they are prosperous. For some 50 years, their pleas
were ignored; government interventionism was the flavor of the century.
In Britain, successive Labour governments relied so heavily on state
regulation of the economy that the Thatcherite backlash, when it came,
was both ruthless and popular. Ever since then, deregulation has been
the First Commandment of the neo-conservative gospel..
Today, the
debate has moved on somewhat, and two contrasting movements
can be
discerned:
1. In the USA (and, to some extent, in the UK), it is
increasingly
obvious that the major 'winners' in the drive to deregulate the
economy
have been the lawyers, for whom chaos in the airlines industry and
bankruptcy among the savings and loans associations have been an
unqualified boon. The practice of law in today's America is no longer a
liberal profession in the European tradition; it is a commercial
venture, having expanded beyond all recognition with the boomin the
consumer litigation 'industry'. The USA now has more lawyers than
farmers.
2. The Japanese have not been tempted down this road: for them,
bringing
a lawsuit is as shameful as consulting a psychiatrist.
The
{p. 11} Germans, too, with their notorious sense of discipline,
prefer
their system to be based on precise rules and regulations. But the
European Commission, and EC law in general, have been strongly
influenced by the philosophy of deregulation, and national parliaments
are beginning to worry about the loss of their own regulatory powers.
The debate, it seems, has only just started to hot up.
Bankers or
brokers?
Liberal economic theory teaches that the optimal distribution of
the
financial resources needed for businesses to develop and expand can be
obtained if, and only if, there is free movement of capital in an openly
competitive environment. For many, this means that the banks' grip on
credit needs to be reduced, in the interest of greater efficiency. In
1970, the US intermediation rate (Le. the proportion of company
financing provided by banks) was 80 per cent; by 1990, it had fallen to
20 per cent. This spectacular drop in bank financing has been matched by
an equally spectacula~ growth in the market for debt and securities -
or, to put it in the simplest possible terms, the stockbrokers have
taken over from the bankers. The 'neo-American model' of capitalism, as
will soon become clear, is predicated on an almost visceral preference
for the stock exchange; it also happens that the British EC
Vice-President (and Commissioner responsible for financial institutions
and competition policy), Sir Leon Brittan, shares this preference.
In
the 'Alpine model' of finance - which, for our purposes, must include
Japan
- the bankers still have the upper hand. France has yet to make a
clear-cut
choice between the two models: the young; upwardly mobile
decision-makers
and the older financiers generally support the
Anglo-American approach,
while senior management is on record as
favoring the Alpine model (as
reported by the Institut de l'Entreprise,
an independent think-tank
connected to the French employers' federation).
The question is, in any
case, of vital importance to all genuine
capitalists, for whom there are
only two admissible methods of making a
fortune: by competing successfully
in production or in speculation.
Economies that favor the banks over the
brokers provide fewer
opportunities to make fortunes quickly. Only those
capitalists who are
immune to the charms of pure speculation - Le. the
prospect of becoming rich
{p. 12} overnight - can afford to stand back
from the debate.
Bankers or brokers? It is a question which the USA, in
particular, will
have to air fully and with candour in the coming years.
When the Bush
administration brought forward its proposals for rescuing the
nation's
archaic banking system from the brink of insolvency, the reform
package
was clearly inspired by European, and specifically Alpine, examples.
The
plan, however, would mean reducing the number of banks from 12 500 to
about a 1000, and creating some 200 000 redundancies spread throughout
the 50 states. And that is just the beginning.
How should power be
distributed within companies?
This question, closely linked to the
preceding one, basically comes down
to the division of powers between
owners, on the one hand, and
Tnanagement and employees, on the other. From
my own experience, I know
that it can transform boardrooms into
battlefields. There are companies
in which shareholders 'grill' their Chief
Executive Officer, who must
always face them alone (however, they may bring
a secretary); others
where shareholders and managers always meet in exactly
equal numbers;
and still others in which it is the management who choose the
shareholders instead of vice versa.
In short, the debate is open. The
map of the different realms of power
and authority within the modern
capitalist company is still being drawn,
and on it depends the nature of the
capitalist enterprise itself. Are
companies to be bought and sold by their
owners (the shareholders) like
any other commodity or merchandise? That is
the AngloAmerican view; but
according to others the company is in fact a
community, a complex
organism in which the prerogatives of the shareholders
must be balanced
with those of management - who in tum are more or less
co-opted by the
banks and (implicitly, at least) by employees. This
power-sharing model-
held together with the glue of consensus - is
characteristic of the
German and Japanese approach to company
organization.
What part should business and industry play in education
and training?
The Anglo-American answer is, briefly, as little as
possible. Two
reasons can be given: first, training has to be paid for on
the spot,
but its
{p. 13} profitability works out only in the long
term - and who has time
to think about the long term? Management in Britain
and America are far
too busy trying to get immediate results, and the bigger
the profits the
better. Second, investing in training is too risky: a mobile
workforce
means that once you have trained them, you lose them to your
competitors
- which is only to be expected if the 'labor market' is
functioning
properly.
Again, the Germans and the Japanese adopt an
entirely different
strategy. They apply what might be called 'career
management through
forward planning' - in other words, professional
advancement for all
employees is based on long-term considerations of both
individual
performance and community (Le. company) interests. In this
scenario, the
danger is that talented individuals may become frustrated and
impatient
within the confines of a traditional hierarchy. But the danger of
the
Anglo-American approach is that training and experience gained in one
company can so easily be lost to another, higher 'bidder' in the labor
market.
Behind the debate over training lurks the larger question of
the
ultimate role and purpose of the company in a capitalist economy. In the
Anglo-American tradition, its sole function is to generate profits;
continental Europe and Japan tend to look beyond the bottom line and see
the company as fulfilling a variety of needs which range from job
creation to the enhancement of national
competitiveness.
Insurance
The insurance business, it seems to me,
can stand as a paradigm of the
conflicting tendencies within modern
capitalism. As I am myself an
insurer, I may be open to the charge of
subjectivity and personal
preference in making this assertion, but I would
argue that the
development and refinement of insurance is an indispensable
part of the
capitalist process and has a direct bearing on factors such as
innovation or competitiveness. Moreover, the most striking aspect of the
'capitalism vs capitalism' debate is the relative importance which each
model attaches to the present and to the future. There can be no field
in which these dimensions are of greater concern than in the insurance
business, because the insurer's job is to add value to present resources
by transferring them to the future.
{p. 14} The debate within
insurance is increasingly polarised between
the Anglo-American stance
(insurance is a market commodity like any
other - a view much in vogue at EC
headquarters in Brussels) and the
Alpine position, which emphasizes the
institutional nature of insurance
as a guarantor of security for firms and
individuals alike. Anyone who
thinks this debate is arcane or irrelevant is
taking a bit too much for
granted, for who can be sure that the future holds
no car accident, no
old-age infirmity requiring home care?
The
opposing tendencies of modern insurance go back to ancient
beginnings;
today, these differences show up as a stark contrast
between, on the one
hand, a gamble based on the calculation of
individual risk and, on the
other, a collective endeavor to provide a
secure basis on which to explore
the future.
Insurance, then, will serve as an exemplary portrayal of the
two models
of capitalism which I propose to examine. Some readers may
(understandably) object that this amounts to a caricature of what is,
after all, an exceedingly complex question. My only defense is that, in
the age of the identikit and the three-minute news analysis, it is
pointless to be coy about the advantages of simplification: caricature
need not be synonymous with exaggeration.
The ten preceding examples
of capitalism in action are of interest for
two reasons. First, they
contradict the outward impression that, having
obtained an ideological
monopoly which is against its very nature,
capitalism is as much a
monolithic, impermeable bloc as was Soviet
communism: a new determinism to
replace a discredited dialectical
Marxism. Seen from the inside, however,
the picture is very different.
In the real life of capitalism as lived by
different nations and
cultures, no one best way, no single unambiguous
answer to the great
social questions is apparent. Just the opposite:
capitalism is a
versatile, complex aggregate of energies and movements. It
is a
practice, not a theory. The other point of interest is provided by the
tendency of these diverse practices and approaches to coalesce into two
great streams of comparable size, two opposing models of capitalism
locked in a conflict whose outcome is far from certain.
The claim may
appear outrageous, and that is why I began with a few
concrete examples of
observable facts. Certainly my hypothesis has
{p. 15} against it the full
weight of Anglo-American liberal economic
theory - and its weight in today's
world is considerable (if not totally
dominant), from the canteen to the
boardroom, from the classroom to the
economic think-tank. According to this
school of thought, the market
economy can never have more than one pure,
efficient rationale. Any
deviation from price rationality, any taint of
political or social or
institutional perrogatives are automatically rejected
as an unwarranted
muddying of the waters.
For the theorists of this
school, the USA is the one true reference, the
proving ground on which the
theory must stand or fall. It is the New
Jerusalem of the New
Conservatism.
In practice, things are - fortunately - not so simple. The
main purpose
of this book is to demonstrate the existence of a second model
of
capitalism, one which can match and even out-perform the American model,
whether measured by the yardstick of economic efficiency or by that of
social justice.
Before going any further, there is the matter of
nomenclature. Each
model needs a name, a handy
'label'.
'Anglo-Saxon'vs 'German-Japanese' model
At first glance,
the temptation is to set an 'Anglo-Saxon' or
'Englishspeaking' model against
a 'German-Japanese' model.
The former terms probably go too far: it does
not seem right for
Australia and New Zealand, with their strong Labour
tradition, to be
bracketed with the Britain of Mrs. Thatcher and her
successors. And
Canada's French-speaking province of Quebec would look even
more out
place, especially as it owes much of its exceptional growth of the
last
15 years or so to financial institutions (such as the Caisse de Depots
or the Groupe Desjardins) whose strategies are diametrically opposite to
those characteristic of the 'Anglo-Saxon' model over the last
decade.
But the main objection lies in the uncomfortable pairing of the
USA and
the UK, which overlooks a fundamental difference, mentioned above,
in
the realm of social welfare. The disparity here is enormous: not between
two different systems, but between a long-established, comprehensive
system (inspired by Bismarck, no less) that even Mrs. Thatcher could not
undo, and the complete absence of any system of protection at
all.
{p. 16} As for the latter term, 'German-Japanese', there are points
in
its favor beyond the recognition that, for over 100 years, the Japanese
have been routinely described as 'the Germans of Asia', or the fact that
today the major German and Japanese corporations are teaming up to form
industrial alliances of unparalleled potential (e.g. Mitsubishi and
Daimler Benz, Toyota and Volkswagen, Matsushita and Siemens). There are
precisely analogous traits which bring the two naturally together, such
as their methods of corporate financing or the social role of the
company. The principal resemblance in economic terms is, beyond
question, the emphasis on export-led growth. Yet there are a number of
striking differences: there is no German equivalent of the huge Japanese
business firms, nor is German industry so radically polarised, as it is
in Japan, between large corporations and small subeontractors. The
French research center CEPII (which has been studying the question for
at least 20 years) has even found that, in the matter of industrial
specialization, there could not be two more opposite cases than those of
Germany - with its stable base of traditional expertise in mechanical
engineering, chemicals and transport equipment - and Japan, where the
breakneck pace of industrial change has seen textiles vanish, shipyards
being reconverted, and new specializations (such as cars and consumer
electronics) popping up virtually overnight. On closer inspection, then,
these terms are not entirely satisfactory.
The American model or,
more accurately, the 'neo-American model'
Given that the UK, for all Mrs.
Thatcher's efforts to import Reaganism,
is destined to draw nearer to Europe
while distancing itself somewhat
from America, the inescapable conclusion
must be that the USA
constitutes an economic model in and of
itself.
Since 1980, America's singularity has been even more pronounced.
The
election of Ronald Reagan put an abrupt end to the tendency, apparent
since the Depression, of US capitalism to take on some of the
characteristics of European capitalism (e.g. greater state intervention
in the economy). This movement had much to do with the need for
trans-Atlantic solidarity in the confrontation with communism. Nowhere
in continental Europe has there been anything remotely like the 'Reagan
revolution' in the USA. A new economic model was
{p. 17} forged (and
baptized Reaganomics, already in every dictionary);
its fame was to spread
far beyond the boundaries of America, even as its
shortcomings have started
to become apparent at home. It is an
extraordinary phenomenon, and part of
its complexity stems from
psychological factors which seem to outweigh real
economic performance.
The American model has been transformed by Reaganism
into something new,
which I will henceforth refer to as the neo-American
model.
Can one therefore speak ofa 'European model' as
such?
Everything would seem to point in that direction: the European
Community
has been under construction for over 30 years; it takes the form
of an
essentially economic union, regardless of the current debate over
political, social, diplomatic or military ties; it is a concrete reality
with its own dynamics. And yet there is no single, consistent European
economic model. The British pattern more closely resembles that of
America than of Germany; the Italian version (dominated by 'family
capitalism' and characterised by an almost non-existent state, an
astronomical public-sector deficit and an amazing vitality among small
and medium-sized bUSinesses) resembles no other, with the possible
exception of the Chinese diaspora.
France and Spain are unusual cases
as well - all the more so as contrary
to appearances, they have agreat deal
in common. Both have long
experience of protectionism, state interventionism
and inflationary
corporatism, and both have been actively engaged in
throwing off these
obsolete accoutrements in a frenzy of modernisation.
Finally, they are
both torn between comp~tingtendencies.Against the pull of
institutional
traditions wh1Ch, if rejuvenated, would take them in the
'Alpine'
direction, there are strong 'Americanizing' forces in the growth of
new
businesses, increased speculative activity and a plethora of social
tensions typical of polarized economies; furthermore, there is even an
'Italian tendency' at work, with the rise of great personal and family
fortunes.
Decidedly, it would be unwise to speak of a 'European
model'.
'Core' model of classic European economy
There does
exist, nevertheless, a kind of 'core' model of the classic
European economy.
It has two complementary sides to its nature:
{p. 18} 1. The Alpine
aspect, Le. the 'Deutschmark zone' of influence
which includes Switzerland
and Austria, but not the Netherlands. Seen
from a monetary and financial
angle, the Alpine model embodies all the
principal features that run
directly counter to the neo-American model.
In particular, no currency has
been managed more differently from the
dollar in the last quarter-century
than the German mark.
2. The Rhine aspect, Le. the social component of
the economic policies
and practices of the new Germany, which took shape in
Bonn (on the Rhine
River) and not in Berlin, capital of Prussia. It was on
the banks of the
Rhine, in the spa town of Bad Godesberg, that the German
Social
Democratic Party decided, during its historic 1959 conference, to
commit
itself to capitalism. It seemed a surprising choice at the time. Yet
there could be no mistake: the new SPD program explicitly insisted on
'the need to protect and promote private ownership of the means of
production' and gave full approval to 'open competition and free
enterprise'. Every socialist party in Europe cried treason, of course...
and every one of them has come to accept the same principles (if not
always so explicitly, then at least in terms of pragmatic
behaviour).
Today, Helmut Kohl continues in the tradition of Adenauer,
Erhard, and
even Brandt and Schmidt, at the helm of an economy which
exemplifies
what I call the Rhine model of capitalism. It includes not only
the
Rhine countries in the narrow geographical sense - Switzerland, Germany
and the Netherlands - but also, to some extent, Scandinavia and (with
allowances for the inevitable cultural differences) Japan as
well.
Now that the actors are in position, the show can
begin.
With the collapse of communism, it is as if a veil has been
suddenly
lifted from our eyes. Capitalism, we can now see, has two faces,
two
personalities. The neo-American model is based on individual success and
short-term financial gain; the Rhine model, of German pedigree but with
strong Japanese connections, emphasizes collective success, consensus
and long-term concerns. In the last decade or so, it is this Rhine
model- unheralded, unsung and lacking even nominal identity papers -
that has shown itself to be the more efficient of the two, as well as
the more equitable.
{p. 99} Chapter 6 The other capitalism
In
economics, as in entertainment, the spectator is more likely to
remember an
outrageous, over-the-top performance than a quietly
understated one. In
other words, the glitter of Wall Street and the
gladiatorial drama of the
casino economy enjoy a worldwide notoriety
denied to the subtle balancing
act of the German Sozialmarktwirtschaft
(social market economy). In their
dreams of a capitalist nirvana, the
downtrodden inhabitants of Tirana or
Bratislava or Ulan Bator naturally
conjure up visions of a prosperity made
in America, and packaged by
Hollywood; dreams made all the more legitimate
and credible now that the
fulminations, falsehoods and false hopes of half a
century of communist
propaganda have been firmly swept aside. When, in the
summer of 1990, a
few dozen Albanians managed to escape the last European
bastion of
Stalinism and find refuge in France, it soon emerged that their
true
destination was America: the America of Dallas, Chicago and Wall
Street.
And when the Budapest Stock Exchange was inaugurated earlier that
same
year, it was cause for national celebration. Hungarians at last had
tangible proof that the capitalist Eldorado was just around the
corner.
It would certainly come as a shock to most people in the former
communist countries, then, to learn that capitalism is not one and
indivisible, that market economies - like cars - come in different
makes, and that the most efficient one is not necessarily the glamorous
American model. One who would not be surprised, though, is Lech Walesa.
Poland's new President has openly talked of his quest for an ideal model
which would reconcile the supposed prosperity and efficacy of American
capitalism with the relative security, in social welfare terms, of the
old regime (see Guy Sorman, Sortir du socialisme: Fayard; 1991); a model
which would allow people, in the words of a much-quoted War-
{p. 100}
saw witticism, 'to live like the Japanese without having to
work harder than
the Poles'.
Were President Walesa to look over his shoulder to Germany,
he would
find something not unlike his ideal system. To take but one
example, the
former West German states could boast an average of 1633 hours
per year
of real working time per employee in manufacturing industry. Joking
aside, this does fit the description of 'working less than the French
while producing as much as the Japanese' (see Futurihles, January 1989).
German metalworkers already enjoy a 36V2 -hour working week, and it is
quite possible that the 35-hour week scheduled to be introduced in 1995
will (in spite of the enormous controversy it has aroused) eventually
become the norm. The point is that, of all the great industrialized
nations, Germany can lay claim to both the shortest working week and the
highest wages, while at the same time building up an enormous trade
surplus with the rest of the world.
Yet Germany is but one example,
one particular incarnation, of the
'other capitalism', the Rhine
model-largely unrecognised or, at best,
misunderstood - which extends from
northern Europe to Switzerland, and
partially includes Japan. Like its
rival, the neo-American model, it is
indisputably capitalist: the market
economy, private property and free
enterprise are the cornerstones of both
systems. In the last 10 or 15
years, however, the neo-American model has
begun to veer off in another
direction, a trend described by sociologist
Jean Padioleau as 'the
speculator gaining the upper hand over the industrial
entrepreneur, and
the race for easy, short-term profits undermining the
collective wealth
built up through long-term investment'.
The Rhine
model represents a very different vision of economic
organization; it
presupposes different financial structures and social
controls. It is far
from perfect, but its characteristic features
combine to produce a stable,
yet dynamic (and remarkably powerful)
system. The same aphorism may be
applied to it as to democracy: it is
the worst system in the world, except
for all the others. And although
it has never received anything like the
public recognition and
international prestige of the neo-American model,
there is evidence of a
greater awareness among economic decision-makers. A
survey of 300
European company directors, carried out by the French polling
organization SOFRES in August 1988, makes for interesting reading in
this respect.
{p. 101} Asked to name their preferences if they had to
subcontract more
work abroad or purchase more foreign goods, they opted for
West Germany
(as it was then) by a huge margin, in spite of its higher
salary costs -
of which they were, naturally, well aware. (France,
incidentally, was
their second choice, with the Benelux countries coming in
third.)
Let us now tum to some of the fundamental aspects of the Rhine
economic
model, those which distinguish it most clearly, and in many cases
radically, from the neo-American model.
The role of the
market
Just as there can be no socialist society in which all goods and
services are free, so can there be no capitalist society in which all
goods and services may be bought and sold. Some assets, by definition,
cannot be transferred from one owner to the other. They may be personal
(love and friendship, generosity and honor, for example) or collective
(democracy, public freedoms, human rights, justice etc.). They are what
may be termed non-negotiable (or non-exchangeable) goods, and they are
baSically the same for both models of capitalism, with one major
exception: religion.
Where the models diverge significantly is in the
realm of negotiable
goods (i.e. commodities and services that can always be
exchanged), and
in that of mixed goods. The two diagrams on page 102 will
give a rough
idea of the market status of certain types of goods in each
model. The
differences are clearly visible: the neo-American model gives
pride of
place to negotiable goods, while the Rhine model has a
preponderance of
mixed goods (those which are partly negotiable on the open
market and
partly dependent on public-sector initiative). It is worth
examining
each item in tum.
Religions
In the Rhine model,
religions do not generally function as economic
institutions; in Germany,
for example, pastors and priests are paid out
of public funds, just as if
they were civil servants. In the USA, it
would seem, religious movements are
increasingly run as mixed-economy
institutions, often using the most
sophisticated methods of marketing,
{p. 103} In the neo-American model, a
company is a negotiable good like
any other, whereas for the Rhine economies
it is not just a commodity,
but a community - in other words, a mixed good.
Companies Housing
Housing is also almost exclusively a market commodity in
the USA. In
Rhine economies, by contrast, public sector initiatives account
for a
significant proportion of housing and rents are often subsidised.
Urban
transport The situation in urban transport is analogous to that of
housing, although even in the USA it is subject to some public
regulation; one of the few places where untrammelled competition
prevails in this sector is Santiago, the capital of Chile, where, thanks
to General Pinochet's 'Chicago boys', anyone can set up a bus service
and set fares at will. As a result, bus traffic there is the heaviest in
the world, and pollution levels are worse than ever. Nevertheless, the
many deficiencies of municipal transport services in Rhine countries
have put them under increasing scrutiny, and moves toward privatization
are on the increase. This is indicated in the diagram by an arrow
pointing in the direction of the 'negotiable goods' category. Wages The
same holds for wages, which, in the neo-American model, are increasingly
subject to the prevailing winds of the market at any given moment; the
Rhine system, however, tends to base wages on factors not directly
connected with worker productivity, such as qualifications, seniority
and nationally agreed pay scales. They are thus negotiable goods in one
case, mixed goods in the other. The media Similarly, the media -
especially television - which have traditionally belonged to the public
sector in Rhine economies, face increasing privatisation. Oddly, this is
the one case where the American trend goes against the grain; its
all-commercial broadcasting sector is
{p. 104} a new growth of
'community-run' television stations financed
through public subscription.
Thus the arrows in the diagram point in
opposite directions for this
commodity. Education
This spans all three categories of goods in both
models. Nevertheless,
it is readily apparent, in the case of the
neo-American model, that the
proportion of educational establishments
subject to market forces is
enormous, and still growing steadily (as
indicated by the arrow in the
direction of 'negotiable
goods').
Health
Like education, health embraces the three
different categories of goods
in,both models, but in the Rhine model, where
a greater role is accorded
to public hospitals and mutual benefit schemes
operating in tandem with
Social Security, there is as yet no sign that the
authorities are keen
to transfer many of their prerogatives to the private
sector - as is
increasingly the tendency in both English-speaking and Latin
countries.
It is a point which needs underlining, as it admirably
illustrates
capitalism's potential for both short-term wealth creation and
longterm
erosion of social values. The latter may occur if public
authorities
fail to exercise their supervisory role, and when there are no
other
strong social values to compete with that of money and wealth. As the
late French economist Fran<;ois Perroux once wrote:
For any
capitalist society to function smoothly, there must be certain
social
factors which are free of the profit motive, or at least of the
quest for
maximum profits. When monetary gain becomes uppermost in the
minds of civil
servants, soldiers, judges, priests, artists or
scientists, the result is
social dislocation and a real threat to any
form of economic organization.
The highest values, the noblest human
assets - honor, joy, affection, mutual
respectmust not be given a price
tag; to do so is to undermine the
foundations of the social grouping.
There is always a more or less durable
framework of pre-existing moral
values within which a capitalist economy
operates, values which may be
quite alien to capitalism itself. But as the
economy expands, its very
success threatens this framework; capitalist
values replace all others in
{p. 105} the public esteem, and the
preference for comfort and material
well-being begins to erode the
traditional institutions and mental
patterns which are the basis of the
social order. In a word, capitalism
corrupts and corrodes. It uses up
society's vital life-blood, yet is
unable to replenish it.
Le
Capitalisme, in the 'Que sais-je?' series: 19~2
These are prophetic words
indeed, and any number of concrete examples
may be found to illustrate them.
To take but one which concerns us all
(directly or not), let us examine the
American legal process, which has
begun to take on all the characteristics
of a marketable, negotiable
commodity.
In Japan, it is considered
somewhat shameful to bring a lawsuit; every
avenue of negotiation and
compromise must be explored before resorting
to such an extreme measure. In
the European tradition, the legal
profession - like all the other
professions - frees its members from the
need to chase profits and calculate
prices, in order to be able to
concentrate in a disinterested fashion on
serving the public good. It is
this notion of service to a higher ideal-
whether this be defined as
'justice' or 'health' or 'education' - which in
turn defines the code of
professional conduct: in a word, honor. Honor is
the key concept, as the
term 'honorarium' (payment for professional
services) clearly indicates.
This ancient tradition (stretching back to
Hippocrates, in the case of
medicine), fundamental to the liberal
professions, is the cornerstone
which anchors them firmly outside the market
place. But in the USA, a
radical change is under way. The legal profession
is now more aptly
described as 'the lawsuit industry'.
This latest
victory of a certain brand cif capitalism has been fully
documented in
Walter Kolson's study, The Litigation Explosion (Truman
Talley Books: New
York, 1991). In his review of Kolson's book in The New
York Times of 12 May
1991, former Supreme Court Chief Justice Warren
Burger notes that this
unprecedented change began to gather real
momentum in 1977, when the Supreme
Court ruled that lawyers should be
allowed to advertise their services on
television. The immediate upshot
of this decision has been the exponential
growth of contingency fee
agreements, whereby a prospective plaintiff in a
lawsuit hires the
services of a lawyer on the following terms: no fee will
be payable if
the suit is lost, but if it is won and damages are awarded,
the lawyer will
{p. 106} take a percentage cut of the damages. Such
arrangements are now
routine in road accident cases, so much so that an
injured victim is not
surprised to find a lawyer by his side in the
ambulance, urging him to
sign a contingency fee agreement before they reach
hospital.
According to the statistics, there has been a 300-fold increase
in the
number of malpractice suits against US doctors and hospitals since
1970.
Given that the resultant cost of malpractice insurance may reach the
equivalent of £30 000 per year for some doctors, it is no wonder that
aggressive profit-making is the order of the day in the medical
profession as well - as innumerable American women (to take just one
example) could testify on being advised by their gynaecologists to
undergo a hysterectomy on the sole grounds that the onset of menopause
has made the uterus 'redundant'.
Another statistic speaks volumes:
the number of federal judges found
guilty of corruption and tax evasion in
the 1980s exceeded the total of
the previous 190 years ofUS history. The
judiciary, too, is swaying to
the siren song of the profit motive. Do not
imagine, however, that dark
irrational forces are at work: your lawyer, who
sees you as a rich vein
of potential lawsuits waiting to be mined, is
working to a logical plan
which begins and ends with maximum gain; your
doctor is merely following
the same capitalist reasoning, in which you are a
biological generator
of profit. But here's the rub: in such a system, who
can you trust? And
what is a society really 'worth' if it systematically
breaks down trust?
Bank capitalism
In the Rhine model, the 'golden
boys' and their breathless exploits on
the floor of the Stock Exchange are
conspicuously absent. Banks, not
stock markets, are the principal guardians
of the capitalist flame in
Germany and Switzerland: one has only to compare
the Frankfurt or Zurich
Bourse with their heavyweight British or French
counterparts.
Frankfurt's total capitalization is a third that of London,
and nine
times smaller than Wall Street or Tokyo. It is only recently that
options and futures markets were introduced on the German exchanges,
which remain narrowly focused and decidedly unglamorous. German
companies in search of financing are far more likely to talk to their
bank than to raise funds on the financial markets or through public
subscription.
{p. 107} Some - including giants like Bertelsmann, the
biggest :European
press and publishing group- are not even listed on the
stock exchange.
Just the opposite, in other words, of what we see in the UK
and the USA,
and all the more striking a contrast in the light of Germany's
economic
power and influence.
It is the strength and vigor of German
banks that explain this
situation. While everyone has heard of the Deutsche
Bank, with its
commanding position in the German economy, and of others such
as the
Dresdner Bank or the Commerz Bank, few suspect how very powerful they
are. Crucially, they may (unlike American banks) conduct all types of
business; no regulations restrict them to a single activity or sector.
German banks are 'universal' institutions: they make ordinary loans and
have ordinary depositors; they deal in stocks and bonds, and manage
company treasuries; they also operate as commercial banks, providing
investment advice and carrying out acquisitions and mergers. And
finally, they maintain whole networks of economic, financial, business
and industrial information for the benefit of client companies. The
result is a special relationship between bankers and their customers in
which mutual cooperation is constantly reinforced.
Above all, German
banks have assumed the role of company financiers,
which elsewhere has been
taken over by the stock markets. Most firms
have their 'house bank' to whom
matters of finance are entrusted; one
can almost imagine the German banker
telling his client, the company
president: 'You just take care of improving
production and increasing
sales, and leave the financial problems to us!' In
Japan, as mentioned
earlier, the symbiosis of industry and banking is even
more pronounced,
with many industrial groups owning their own banks. It is
almost
possible to reverse the equation and say that the Japanese banks (and
insurance companies) own their own industrial groups.
Mutual-Interest
networks
In Germany, too, the common ground shared by banks and industry
goes
some way beyond purely financial considerations. As important company
shareholders, banks enjoy a privileged status and their views are
listened to, on at least two accounts: first, through direct ownership
of a portion of the capital; and, secondly, .through voting rights
exer-
{p. 108} cised on behalf of shareholders who bank with them.
Combining
these two levers of influence gives German banks a considerable
say in
boardroom decisions. Thus, Deutsche Bank owns a quarter of the shares
•and with it a minority veto - in the automotive giant Daimler Benz
(which also makes engines and aircraft parts), as well as in Philipp
Holzmann (Germany's premier construction firm) and in Karstadt (the
leader in volume retailing). Dresdner Bank and Commerz Bank similarly
have a 25 per cent or more stake in a dozen major companies. Conversely,
the banks' largest single shareholders tend to be these same industrial
groups (although this seldom represents more than a 5 per cent holding
in each case). And there are other links, such as the supervisory boards
which oversee banking activities: big business usually has its seat on
these, too. Again, both conditions apply to Daimler Bern: vis-a.-vis
Deutsche Bank.
This interpenetration of banking and business
interests forms the warp
and weft of an industrial-financial fabric which is
both stable and
highly resistant to outside factors. There are at least
three
consequences of this marriage of interests for the economy as a whole,
and all are beneficial.
To begin with, the banks tend to have the
long-term interests of
business at heart; unlike the brokers of Wall Street,
for whom regular
quarterly profits are the sole criterion, German banks see
their stake
in a company as an enduring commitment. They accept that risks
must be
taken, involving large sums over long periods of time, as the price
for
backing a diffkult but potentially rewarding venture. Why else would the
Swiss banks have invested heavily in the watch-making industry at a time
when it appeared to be in terminal decline, and what else explains
Metallgesellschaft's ability to increase its holdings in the mining
industry when raw materials were synonymous with doom and gloom?
A
second positive consequence for managers of businesses, and for the
economy
generally, is that banks make for stable shareholders. Their
basic loyalty
gives management room to breathe, secure in the knowledge
that no sword of
Damocles (in the form of a hostile takeover bid) is
hanging over their
heads. Corporate executives are free to devote
themselves to managing the
fIrm; their time and energy are not being
lavished on interminable, and
unproductive, legal wrangles and
{p. 109} the devising of anti-takeover
strategies. It is one of the
reasons German· companies continue to be highly
competitive on world
markets. The same can be said of Japanese, Swiss or
Dutch firms: their
managers do not live under the constant threat of a
sudden restructuring
imposed by outsiders, although not always for the same
reasons. Japanese
capitalism has a number of quasi-feudal characteristics of
its own,
which will be explored in a later chapter. In Switzerland, the role
of
the three great banking groups is rather different from that of the
German banks. It is through the restrictive rules governing
shareholders' voting rights that the capital stock of Swiss firms is
protected from would-be predators. As for the Netherlands, a whole
battery of anti-takeover measures ensures that CEOs and executives sleep
peacefully.
This relatively secure set-up does not mean that managers
in the Rhine
economies can afford to relax on the job or that their mistakes
go
unnoticed. There is always a nucleus of principal shareholders (banks
and others) who take their supervisory powers and responsibilities
seriously, acting as a counterweight to executive prerogatives. They do
not shrink from punishing cases of management negligence or dereliction
- and thus, indirectly, also help protect smaller investors.
The
third consequence of banking's pre-eminent role in the economy is
that the
sheer density of the web of mutual interests cannot be easily
penetrated by
outside forces. It is fair to say that the German economy
is driven by
consensus (rather than commanded - nothing horrifies German
decision-makers
more than the idea of a command economy) involving a
relatively small group
of people, who all know one another well and
travel in the same social
circles. Personal relations are a decisive
factor in protecting the German
economy from the unwanted attentions of
foreign investors. When a firm is
under threat, its bankers will quite
naturally seek a home-grown solution to
the problem rather than look for
help from abroad. Deutsche Bank, for
example, stepped in to rescue the
ailing Klockner-Werke group; and when the
computer fIrm Nixdorf ran
aground, the banks were instrumental in arranging
for its takeover by
the electronics giant Siemens. If mergers and
acquisitions are handled
this way, one can imagine the difficulty, for any
foreign investor who
might be contemplating a hostile raid on German
property, of getting
past the vigilant front lines of the banks. There are
exceptions to
every rule, of course. German companies
{p. 110} are
perhaps no longer as invulnerable to foreign takeover as
they once were; of
the 3000 West German firms which changed hands in
1989, 459 were acquired by
foreign investors spending an estimated total
of $3 billion - which is twice
as much as the figure for 1988. (French
investors accounted for 63
acquisitions, a threefold increase since
1986.) Yet these figures should be
treated with caution, for on closer
inspection they show that the vast
majority of foreign takeovers
involved small or medium-sized businesses. In
1989 a single acquisition
(that of Colonia by the French insurer La
Victoire) accounted for more
than half of the total French investment in
West Germany. Meanwhile,
German investors made twice as many acquisitions in
France as vice
versa, and there is every reason to think that the imbalance
in
Germany's favor will continue to grow.
Rhine companies thus enjoy
financial stability and benefit from a host
of safeguards which promote
long-term development arid enhance
competitiveness. But it is not only in
the management of capital that
they excel; the very structure of company
management also plays an
important part.
A well-managed
consensus
In a 1986 report to the EC President entitled 'Federal Germany:
Its
Ideals, Interests and Inhibitions', W. Hager and M. Noelke wrote that
German society showed 'a tendency to avoid contentious issues and
questions that might jeopardise the social consensus'.The same statement
applies to Japan, and this is no coincidence: both defeated in World War
II, they remain, in their new capacity as economic superpowers, keenly
aware of their own vulnerability. In both countries, political democracy
and economic prosperity are too recent not to be somewhat fragile,
making it easier perhaps to enforce a particular social discipline
typical of the Rhine model.
Turning to the power structure and
patterns of organization within
companies, it is clear once again that the
emphasis in the Rhine model
is on mutuality and shared responsibilities. In
Germany, all parties are
invited to participate in company decision-making:
shareholders,
employers, executives and trade unions alike cooperate in a
variety of
ways to achieve a unique form of joint management (the German
term,
'Mitbestimmung', is perhaps best translated as 'co-responsibility').
A
{p. 111} 1976 law makes it compulsory for all firms of 2000 or more
employees to implement this system of shared decision-making at
virtually every level.
At the top, to begin with, there are two key
bodies: the board of
directors, responsible for company management as such,
and the
supervisory board, elected by shareholders in the AGM, whose role is
to
oversee the activities of the board of directors. Both bodies are at all
times required to assist one another in ensuring that company affairs
run smoothly. Real checks and balances are thus brought to bear, bear,
allowing equal time for each side (owners and investors on the one hand,
management on the other) to put its views and be listened to, yet
without either one dominating.
{p. 112} To this top-level division of
powers is then added the
distinctive German brand of industrial democracy
referred to above as
co-responsibility. Workers' participation in management
dates back to
1848 and is thus a well-established tradition. It takes the
form of
committees which may be likened to British works councils (or French
comites d'entreprise), but with real and wide-ranging powers. All issues
of concern to the workforce are referred to these councils: training,
redundancies, schedules, methods of payment, work patterns etc. It is in
fact mandatory for ~enior management and works councils to come to an
agreement on these matters. But co-responsibility does not end
there.
Employees have another means of influencing decisions in the form
of the
company supervisory boards, to which they elect delegates. Since
1976,
German firms employing more than 2000 workers must allocate an equal
number of seats on these boards to employees as to shareholders.
Although the supervisory board will always have as its chairman (who
casts the deciding vote in split decisions) a representative of the
shareholders, it is nevertheless remarkable that employees should have
such a strong voice on one of the most important executive organs. In
the German view, dialogue between partners is the indispensable oil that
keeps the wheels of business turning and reduces the likelihood of
destructive social friction.
From the French standpoint, this mode
of decision-making and
supervision would appear so heavy-handed, and so
time-consuming, as to
paralyse all initiative. Yet this is manifestly not
the case. Not only
are German firms as dynamic as their competitors, if not
more so, but
they benefit from the enhanced sense of belonging which
co-responsibility fosters. The company is seen by all its members as a
community of interests, a true partnership. American sociologists have
christened this the 'stakeholder' model of organization, as opposed to
the 'stockholder' model. The latter concentrates exclusively on those
who own shares (stock) in the business, while the former treats everyone
as a partner with a personal interest (stake) in the company's
fortunes.
In Japan, a different set of concepts, not always clear to
Western eyes,
produces the same result: a feeling of belonging to a
community, almost
a family. For example, under the term amae - virtually
untranslatable -
are grouped notions of the need for solidarity and
protection,
{p. 113} and the search for emotional fulfilment which the
company must
satisfy. Another word, iemoto, describes the leadership which
an
employer must display and carries familial overtones. According to
sociologist Marcel Bolle de Bal, 'Amae and iemoto are mutually
cOQlplementary notions: one is distinctly charged with feminine
principles of love, feelings, emotions, and the group; the other carries
a masculine charge embracing concepts of authority, hierarchy,
production, and the individual. Both are inseparably united in the
ongoing effort to build a durable organization' (see Revue franr;aise de
gestion, February 1988).
We in the West are constantly being reminded
of the peculiar
characteristics ofJapanese corporate life - guaranteed
lifetime
employment, pay based on seniority, in-ho~se trade unionism, group
incentive schemes etc. - which are the concrete manifestations of unique
cultural values. Unique they may be, but the result is the same: a
collective feeling of belonging. The 'company spirit' is as strong in
the Japanese variant of the Rhine model as it is currently weak in the
neo-American economies.
As the world becomes a more and more
uncertain place, immaterial factors
like trust and belonging are
increasingly important. It becomes
essential for all corporate enterprises
to ensure that their members
play the same game by the same rules, share the
same views and fit into
the same patterns, so that in the end decisions can
be taken by
consensus and energies can be mobilised naturally,
spontaneously.
Stability at home is all the more valuable when
uncertainty and
instability are abroad; far from stifling change and
adaptability,
domestic harmony can be turned to competitive advantage. It is
worth
noting, at this juncture, that just as America is not New York (and
New
York is not just Wall Street), so the largest American corporations have
successfully avoided the trap of short-termism in their management of
human resources, ifnot always in their financial management. Companies
such as IBM, ATT, General Electric and McDonald's have, as far as
possible, steered clear of the 'casino economy' mentality which
currently disfigures the neo-American model and which sees employees as
so many poker chips in a high-stakes game. They have understood that in
order to build and consolidate a multinational endeavor, it is better to
gamble on stability, incentive and even co-responsibility.
{p. 114}
Training: the loyalty factor
The German brand of power-sharing is thus
highly rewarding to companies;
but, equally, it is of immense benefit to
their employees. Purely in
terms of wages, to begin with: German workers are
among the best paid in
the world, at an average DM 33 per hour as against DM
25 in the USA and
Japan, DM 22 in France (at 1988 rates). Moreover, the gap
between the
best-paid and the lowest-paid workers is not as wide as in other
countries (see B. Sausay, Le Vertige allemand: Orban, 1985), making
Germany a far more egalitarian society than America or even
France.
Surprisingly, wages and salaries account for a smaller percentage
of
German GDP - 67 per cent in 1988 - than is the case in other leading EC
member states (71 per cent in France, 72 per cent in Italy and 73 per
cent in the UK). Although partly explained by Germany's huge trade
surplus (pre-unification), this little-known statistic is highly
revealing: it means that German companies manage to payout the highest
wages in Europe (keeping industrial unrest to a minimum) and still have
more funds left over for self-financing than their
competitors.
German workers are not only better paid than their American
or French
counterparts but, as previously noted, they work fewer hours.
What,
then, of their overall career prospects? The litmus test for promotion
is, in the Rhine model, based on qualifications and seniority. Thus the
twin priorities for an employee who wishes to 'get ahead' are dear:
company loyalty and further training. Not coincidentally, the pursuit of
both is beneficial to all.
It is not unusual to find that senior
managers of German (and Japanese)
firms have spent their entire working
lives in the same company, having
moved up the ladder of promotion from shop
floor to executive suite.
Nothing could be further removed from the attitude
now prevalent in
America, whereby job mobility and frequent career changes
are seen as
proof of excellence and individual initiative. (France has not
been
immune to this 'nomadic' bug: as with so many fashionable trends
imported from the USA, the concept was widely, and enthusiastically,
adopted. Recently, the pendulum seems to be swinging back towards
greater career stability - except in the lecture halls of the top
business schools, where 'self-affirmation through mobility' is still
being taught.)
{p. 115} If proof were needed that the German system
of power-sharing
and co-responsibility could be decisive in moulding a more
competitive
national economy, the recession years of 1981-82 provided a
striking
example. Employers and trade unions agreed to keep wa.,ge
settlements
down, so as not to further penalise companies in distress; in
some
cases, they even negotiated salary cuts amounting to 3 per cent or 4
per
cent of purchasing power. (Even greater sacrifices were conceded by
Japanese workers following the oil crisis of 1974-75.) The resulting
recovery was extraordinarily vigorous: by 1984 the German economy had
begun to grow again, creating new jobs and winning back its share . of
world markets. And when, in 1984, a major strike was finally brought to
an end, the workforce as a whole mobilised itself in order to make up
the losses.
Co-responsibility, if skilfully applied, can be a potent
weapon in the
economic armory; it may even prove to be the decisive edge of
one
competitor over another. Training and education provide a further
illustration of the benefits of the Rhine vision of devolved
management.
Vocational training and skills upgrading are now widely
recognised as
supremely important for business and industry, whose real
wealth lies,
not in capital or plant, but in the knowledge and expertise of
the
workforce. In the European context, it is again Germany which has taken
the lead in this endeavor, and again the approach is based on dose
cooperation between management and employees. Long a matter of top
national priority, training in the German workplace (and outside it as
well) is based on three fundamental principles:
1. It must be widely
available. Only 20 per cent of the working
population in Germany have no
paper qualification, as opposed to 41.7
per cent of the French. The German
apprenticeship system is particularly
remarkable in that it absorbs half of
all school-leavers; the
disappointing figure for both France and the UK is
14 per cent. As a
result, the proportion of German school-leavers who find
themselves
unemployed or in a job involving no further training is a mere 7
per
cent, while in France it is 19 per cent, and in Britain... 44 per cent!
Furthermore, there is strong emphasis on vocational studies (leading to
the equivalent of a City and Guilds qualification, for
{p. 116}
example), involving some 53 per cent of the German workforce,
as compared
with only 25 per cent in France.
2. Training must not be restricted to
the elite. While it may be that
the USA boasts an educational system which,
at its best, is unrivalled
anywhere (see Chapter 2), and even France has a
better-educated elite
than Germany, the reverse is true of intermediate
levels of training.
According to the DGB (the largest German trade union),
in a
representative sample of 100 people and their qualifications, the top
15
in France are educated to a higher standard than the top 15 Germans; but
the other 85 are far better trained in Germany. This emphasis on a more
egalitarian pattern of education means that Germany has been able to
build a dynamic, competitive economy on the bedrock foundation of a
generally well-qualified workforce, as ~.report commissioned by the
French Department of Industry admitted in 1990. In France, as in the
English-speaking world, professional training is like polo: a sport for
the elite. In Germany, it is more like angling or jogging, a popular
activity that anyone can do.
3. Further education is for the most
part financed by employers, with
help from government subsidies. A.s for its
content, the emphasis is on
behaviour and attitude: training is designed to
impart values such as
accuracy, reliability, even punctuality. As such, it
meshes perfectly
with the qualities needed for advancement. The pathway to
promotion in
Germany almost always involves an itinerary of further
education and
qualification: nine out of ten apprentices finish their
training and are
awarded a certificate; 15 per cent of those will then go on
to do more
training. It would seem that, in the final analysis,
professionalism is
more highly esteemed in Germany than elsewhere. As one
report put it,
'In West German companies, one does not usually reach
executive level
until the age of 40 and only then on the basis of proven
performance,
not just diplomas. But there are solid links between business
and higher
education: virtually all the top business leaders take on some
teaching
duties' (Michel Godet, Futuribles: April 1989).
{p. 117} If
only because it is a factor in determining company loyalty,
training is of
the utmost importance for both models of capitalism. It
is an issue that can
no longer be ignored: it concerns literally every
worker and every
workplace. To sum up, the 'battle' pits two ;ival
systems against one
another:
• The Anglo-American model of employment, in which a company
seeks to
maximise its competitiveness by sharpening the competition between
individual employees. This entails a relentless drive to recruit the
best and brightest, whatever the cost, and then to keep them by paying
the 'going rate' as dictated at any given time by market forces.
Salaries, like jobs, are fundamentally individualised, and highly
negotiable.
• The Rhine-Japanese model has an entirely different set
of priorities.
It rejects the notion that employers have the right to treat
staff as so
many productive units or raw materials to be bought and sold on
the
market. The company-as-community has an obligation to ensure a certain
level of job security, to earn its members' loyalty, and to provide
educational and training opportunities - which do not come cheaply. As a
result, it may not be able to pay each worker at his or her current
market value; what it can do is lay the ground for a lasting career, and
smooth out some of the rough spots along the way. In this model of
employment, there is no virtue in promoting cutthroat (and ultimately
destructive) in-house competition. ...
(6) German collectivism does
not extend to the Periphery; Germany &
Japan influenced by Anglo-Saxon
model
Date: Mon, 11 Feb 2013 13:20:06 +0100
From: Arno Mong Daastoel
<am@daastol.com>
> Germany
and Japan seem to have been influenced by the Anglo-Saxon model
Yes, you
are right.
> German collectivism does not extend to the
Periphery.
That is the problem with the Mercantilist (Nationalist)
model.
It leaves to every nation to take care of itself.
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